基于结构方程模型的EPC工程项目风险管理研究--以之江路道路提升改造工程为例  

Research on Risk Management of EPC Project Based on Structural Equation Model:Taking the upgrading and reconstruction project of Zhijiang Road as an example

作　　者：张宇[1] 樊敏[1] 赖健维 于强 ZHANG Yu;FAN Min;LAI Jianwei;YU Qiang(School of Civil Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学土木工程学院,成都610031

出　　处：《科技和产业》2023年第7期88-93,共6页Science Technology and Industry

摘　　要：以之江路道路提升改造EPC项目为例,通过文献阅读和专家咨询等方式,确定项目风险的影响因素,将EPC项目风险划分为合同风险、设计风险、采购风险、施工风险、外部环境风险5大类22小类。风险评价结果表明:EPC项目风险中合同风险、设计风险、采购风险、施工风险和外部环境风险的一级指标权重分别为0.250、0.201、0.154、0.157和0.239;合同风险是之江路项目最主要的风险影响因素;总承包商加强合同管理,有助于提升项目整体管理水平。Taking the upgrading and reconstruction EPC project of Zhijiang Road as an example,the influencing factors of project risks were determined through literature reading and expert consultation.The risks of EPC project were divided into five categories,with a total of 22 sub categories.The five categories are contract risk,design risk,procurement risk,construction risk and external environment risk.The risk assessment results show that the first-class index weights of contract risk,design risk,procurement risk,construction risk and external environmental risk in EPC project risk are 0.250,0.201,0.154,0.157 and 0.239 respectively.Contract risk is the main risk influencing factor of Zhijiang Road project.Contract risk is the main risk influencing factor of Zhijiang Road project.Strengthening the contract management of general contractor general contractor is helpful to improve the overall management level of the project.

关 键 词：道路工程 风险管理 结构方程模型 设计采购施工总承包(EPC) 评价指标 

分 类 号：F426.92[经济管理—产业经济]