中国时间序列投入产出表的编制:1981-2018  

The Compilation of the Time Series Input-output Tables in China:1981-2018

作　　者：张红霞[1] 夏明[1] 苏汝劼[1] 林晨[1] Zhang Hongxia;Xia Ming;Su Rujie;Lin Chen

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学应用经济学院

出　　处：《复印报刊资料（统计与精算）》2022年第2期31-48,共18页STATISTICS AND ACTUARIAL SCIENCE

基　　金：中国人民大学科学研究基金项目“中国时间序列投入产出数据库的构建研究(21XNA038)”。

摘　　要：本文提出了以各类统计数据和国民经济核算数据为核心的编制时间序列投入产出表的方法,充分利用国家统计局及其他官方数据源,以国家统计局编制投入产出延长表的方法为基础、以必要的数学方法为辅助。该方法的优点一是编表方法与国家统计局保持内在一致性,数据上能更好地与官方表形成补充和进行衔接;二是充分利用各级部门公布的统计信息,使得所编制的投入产出表能更好地反映编表年度的经济实际。本文利用该方法编制完成我国1981-2018年期间的序列投入产出表,并与已有文献中的几类我国序列投入产出表进行了比较分析。Based on the compilation method of extended IO tables published by National Bureau of Statistics of China(NBS),it takes full advantage of various data published by NBS and other official data sources and uses some auxiliary mathematical models necessary for estimations and consistency adjustment.The advantage of our method is its consistency with the NBS method,which guarantees better coherence and comparability with the input-output tables officially published by NBS.The second advantage of our method is that we make full use of the existing information and data provided by NBS and other government sectors,which guarantees that the input-output tables constructed by our method can reflect the economic realities much better.Using the proposed method,the time series input-output tables of China from 1981-2018 are constructed in this paper and compared with the existing time series of Chinas input-output tables in the literature.

关 键 词：投入产出表 时间序列 RAS法 GRAS法 数学规划 

分 类 号：F222.33[经济管理—国民经济]