城市群规划政策的实施能否缩小非中心城市与中心城市间的经济差距?——来自中国283个城市的证据  

Did the implementation of urban agglomeration development planning policy narrow economic gap between non-central cities and central cities?Evidence from 283 cities in China

作　　者：钟章奇 陆扬 刘志雄[2] ZHONG Zhangqi;LU Yang;LIU Zhixiong(School of Economics and Trade,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006,China;School of Economics,Guangxi Minzu University,Nanning 530006,China)

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院,广州510006 [2]广西民族大学经济学院,南宁530006

出　　处：《地理研究》2023年第4期1050-1069,共20页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41801118);广西高等学校千名中青年骨干教师培育计划人文社会科学类立项课题(2021QGRW028)。

摘　　要：当前为加快推动中心城市带动非中心城市经济协调发展的重要目标,中央政府相继批复了众多国家级城市群发展规划政策(后文简称“规划政策”)。然而,这些规划政策的实施能否缩小非中心城市与中心城市间的经济差距,这已成为近年来学术界非常关注的重大问题。为此,基于2007—2019年全国283个地级市的面板数据,应用倾向得分匹配方法和多期双重差分模型实证探讨规划政策的实施对中国非中心城市与中心城市间经济差距的影响,结果发现:规划政策的实施能使非中心城市与中心城市间的经济差距总体缩小约3%。从地理空间范围来看,规划政策实施能显著缩小距中心城市约0~102.4 km和167.3~443.5 km范围内非中心城市与中心城市间的经济差距。此外,规划政策的实施效果在不同城市群内呈现出显著差异,而拥有资源禀赋优势的非中心城市可凭借规划政策的实施缩小其与中心城市间的经济差距。最终,本文的研究结论将有利于为相关决策者理清规划政策的实施对中国城市间经济差距的影响以及制定更有针对性的区域发展政策提供重要的基础理论依据。The Report of the 19th National Congress of the CPC(2017)pointed out that the principal contradiction faced by Chinese society had evolved into the contradiction between unbalanced and inadequate development and the people's ever-growing needs for a better life.In fact,economic disparity among regions was one of the typical manifestations of unbalanced economic development in China,which deeply affected development equity and social stability in all regions.To promote coordinated economic development between central cities and non-central cities in China,the central government has successively approved many national urban agglomeration development planning policies(hereinafter referred to as“planning policies”).However,whether the implementation of these planning policies narrowed economic gap between non-central cities and central cities has become a major issue concerned by the academic community.Therefore,based on the panel data of 283 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2019,this paper employs the propensity score matching method and multi-period Differences-in-Differences model to empirically explore the impact of the implementation of planning policies on economic gap between non-central cities and central cities in China.The main findings can be summarized as follows.First,the implementation of planning policies can reduce economic gap between non-central cities and central cities by about 3%.From the perspective of geospatial scope,the implementation of planning policies can significantly reduce economic gap between non-central cities and central cities within the ranges of 0-102.4 km and 167.3-443.5 km from the central city.Besides,this paper finds that the implementation effects of planning policies vary in different urban agglomerations.Specifically,except for the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta urban agglomerations,the implementation of planning policies can significantly narrow the economic gap between non-central cities and central city.Second,except for some regions such as

关 键 词：中心城市 城市群发展规划政策 经济差距 溢出效应 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济]