山东省新旧动能转换的功效评估及障碍因素分析  

Efficacy Evaluation and Obstacle Factor Analysis of Transition to New from Old Economic Engines in Shandong Province

作　　者：李梦程 王成新 郝兆印[1,3] 苗毅 LI Mengcheng;WANG Chengxin;HAO Zhaoyin;MIAO Yi(College of Geography and Environment,Shandong Normal University,Jinan 250358,Shandong,China;Collaborative Innovation Center of Human-Nature and Green Development in Universities of Shandong,Shandong Normal University,Jinan 250358,Shandong,China;Jinan Engineering Consulting Institute,Jinan 250002,Shandong,China)

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学地理与环境学院,山东济南250358 [2]山东师范大学山东省高等学校人地协调与绿色发展协同创新中心,山东济南250358 [3]济南市工程咨询院,山东济南250002

出　　处：《济南大学学报（自然科学版）》2023年第3期253-263,共11页Journal of University of Jinan(Science and Technology)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41701177);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2019MD043)。

摘　　要：从投入、产出维度构建山东省新旧动能转换功效评估体系,采用耦合协调模型和探索性空间数据分析方法分析投入与产出的耦合协调关系及空间格局,反映新旧动能转换的功效,并利用障碍度模型对转换功效的障碍因素进行分析。结果表明:2010—2019年山东省新旧动能转换功效的评估值均呈波动上升趋势,高投入-高产出、低投入-低产出同步型城市数量较多;新旧动能转换功效评估中投入与产出皆处于高度耦合阶段,耦合协调度不断增大,协调等级渐趋优化;新旧动能转换功效的空间集聚效应渐趋减弱,局部热点区聚集在山东半岛及鲁中地区,冷点区聚集在鲁西北和鲁南地区;新旧动能转换功效的障碍因素为共享产出—开放产出—创新产出的演变模式,创新产出成为主要障碍因素。To construct the efficacy evaluation system of transition to new from old economic engines in Shandong province from dimensions of input and output,coupling coordination model and exploratory spatial data analysis method were used to analyze the coupling coordination relationship and spatial pattern of input and output,so as to reflect the efficacy of transition to new from old economic engines.Obstacle degree model was used to analyze obstacle factors of transition efficacy.The results show that the assessed values of efficacy of transition to new from old economic engines in Shandong province show a fluctuating upward trend from 2010 to 2019.There are a large number of synchronous cities with high input-high output and low input-low output.In the efficiency evaluation of transition to new from old economic engines,the input and output are in a highly coupled stage,the degree of coupling coordination is increasing,and the coordination level is gradually optimized.The spatial agglomeration effect of the transition to new from old economic engines is gradually weakened.The local hot spots are concentrated in Shandong peninsula and central Shandong,and the cold spots are co ncentrated in northwest and southern Shandong.The obstacle factor of the efficacy of transition to new from old economic engines is the evolution mode of shared output-open o utput-innovative output,and innovative output becomes the main obstacle factor.

关 键 词：新旧动能转换 功效评估 障碍因素 山东省 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]