全要素能源效率及其测算、比较与验证  

Total factor energy efficiency and its measurement, comparison, and validation

作　　者：黄建 冯升波[2] 杨阳 何彦旻 HUANG Jian;FENG Shengbo;YANG Yang;HE Yanmin(Research Institute of Climate Change and Public Policy,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;Energy Research Institute,Academy of Macroeconomic Research,Beijing 100038,China;College of Marxism,Shaanxi University of Technology,Hanzhong 723000,China;Faculty of Economics,Otemon Gakuin University,Ibaraki-shi 567-0085,Japan)

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学气候变化与公共政策研究院,南京210044 [2]中国宏观经济研究院能源研究所,北京100038 [3]陕西理工大学马克思主义学院,汉中723000 [4]日本追手门学院大学经济学部,日本茨木市567-0085

出　　处：《资源科学》2023年第2期281-295,共15页Resources Science

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFF0606403);江苏省社会科学基金后期资助项目(19HQ033)。

摘　　要：【目的】通过梳理全要素能源效率的内涵与测算方法,旨在比较、验证影响测算结果可靠性的相关因素与测算结果的变化特征,为更好地分析能源要素与其他要素在生产中的技术效率,更好地开展节能工作和实现向碳“双控”转变提供关键支撑。【方法】通过梳理大量相关文献,对全要素能源效率及相关概念的内涵、全要素能源效率测算的方法学以及现有典型文献的测算结果开展比较分析。对中国长三角城市群的全要素能源效率开展测算,以此验证影响测算结果的因素与相关变化特征。【结果】文献梳理结果表明:全要素能源效率的概念存在与其他能源效率概念混用的现象。由于能耗与碳排放高度挂钩,在测算方法上简单将碳排放纳入非期望产出,可能导致全要素能源效率测算结果被高估或低估。现有文献对全要素能源效率测算结果存在较大差异性,甚至截然相反。案例分析结果表明:决策单元数量和投入产出数据质量对全要素能源效率存在重要影响;而技术异质性相比经济发展水平差异对全要素能源效率的区域差异影响更大。此外,还验证了长三角城市群全要素能源效率测算结果存在空间自相关性,其时间趋势与其他相关成果基本一致。【结论】应加强全要素能源效率的内涵与方法学探究,特别是提升在处理非期望产出、技术异质性、空间自相关性等方面的分析能力;并在测算过程中加强对投入产出数据及其质量的控制;同时强化全要素能源效率变化特征的系统性分析。[Objective]By reviewing the connotation and measurement methods of total factor energy efficiency,this study aimed to compare and verify the relevant factors and their changes and characteristics that affect the reliability of the measurement results.The conclusion of the study provides key support for improving the analysis of the technical efficiency of energy factors and other factors in production,carrying out energy conservation work,and achieving the goal of carbon peak in China.[Methods]Through the review of a large number of relevant publications,the connotation of total factor energy efficiency and related concepts,the methodology of total factor energy efficiency measurement,and the calculation results of existing representative studies were compared and analyzed.As a case study,we measured the total factor energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration in China,and verified the influencing factors and related characteristics of the calculated results.[Results]The results of literature review show that the concept of total factor energy efficiency is mixed with other energy efficiency concepts.Since energy consumption is highly linked to carbon emissions,simply including carbon emissions into undesirable output in the measurement method may lead to overestimation or underestimation of the total factor energy efficiency measurement results.The existing literature has great differences in the calculation results of total factor energy efficiency,or even completely opposite.The results of the case study show that the number of DMUs and the quality of input-output data have important effects on the total factor energy efficiency.However,technological heterogeneity has a greater impact on the regional differences in total factor energy efficiency than the differences in economic development levels.In addition,it is also verified that there is spatial autocorrelation in the measurement results of total factor energy efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,and its time trend

关 键 词：全要素能源效率 数据包络分析 随机前沿分析 数据质量控制 长三角城市群 

分 类 号：F426.2[经济管理—产业经济]