时空锥视角下土地集约利用与新型城镇化交互效应  

Interaction Between Intensive Land Use and New-type Urbanization from Perspective of Spatiotemporal Cone

作　　者：张中秋 张裕凤[1] 韦金洪 胡宝清 宋颖梅 Zhang Zhongqiu;Zhang Yufeng;Wei Jinhong;Hu Baoqing;Song Yingmei(School of Geographical Sciences,Inner Mongolia Normal University,Hohhot,Inner Mongolia 010022,China;College of Resources and Environment,Beibu Gulf University,Qinzhou,Guangxi 535011,China;College of Economics and Management,Beibu Gulf University,Qinzhou,Guangxi 535011,China;Key Laboratory of Environmental Evolution and Resources Utilization in Beibu Gulf Under Ministry of Education,Nanning Normal University,Nanning,Guangxi 530001,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古师范大学地理科学学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010022 [2]北部湾大学资源与环境学院,广西钦州535011 [3]北部湾大学经济管理学院,广西钦州535011 [4]南宁师范大学北部湾环境演变与资源利用教育部重点实验室,广西南宁530001

出　　处：《水土保持通报》2023年第1期184-195,共12页Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“北部湾‘山水林田湖海’关键性生态修复与城镇化融合发展的多维测度与优化研究”(21XGL015);国家自科科学基金项目“北部湾海陆过渡带生态环境演化机理及其情景模拟研究”(41966007);广西哲学社会科学基金(20CGL004)。

摘　　要：[目的]探究土地集约利用与新型城镇化之间的定性交互机理,为区域高质量发展提供参考。[方法]依据时空锥理论和系统论,从土地集约利用的“资源—资产—资本”属性和新型城镇化的“规模—集聚—红利—财富”效应出发,构建二者的交互机理并据此组建指标体系。以2003—2020年广西壮族自治区14个市的面板数据为样本,采用熵值法、模糊综合评价法和耦合协调模型定量评估二者的发展状态,并运用面板向量自回归模型(PVAR)对两者的交互效应进行实证分析。[结果]①广西土地集约利用以资源性(0.388)和资产性(0.541)为主,平均综合指数由0.104增至0.318。新型城镇化以规模(0.470)和红利效应(0.306)为主,平均综合指数由0.184增至0.425。②二者的耦合协调度由0.367增至0.600,耦合协调状态呈“轻度失调—濒临失调—勉强耦合协调—初级耦合协调”的向好演变态势,但各市级单元的发展差异较大。③从PVAR模型结果来看,土地集约利用与新型城镇化之间存在正向的交互作用,二者受自身发展惯性的冲击显著,土地集约利用对新型城镇化的促进程度(47.11%)大于新型城镇化对土地集约利用的促进程度(35.05%)。[结论]土地集约利用的“资源—资产—资本”属性相对新型城镇化来说属于生产力范畴,新型城镇化的“规模—集聚—红利—财富”效应相对土地集约利用来说属于生产关系范畴,在一定的时空视角下二者之间存在不对等的作用与反作用关系。[Objective]The interaction mechanism between intensive land use and new-type urbanization was determined in order to provide a reference for regional high quality development.[Methods]We qualitatively analyzed the interaction mechanism between the“resource-asset-capital”attribute of intensive land use and the“scale-agglomeration-dividend-wealth”effect of new-type urbanization,and set up an evaluation index system.We used survey data from 14 cities in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from 2003 to 2020 to quantitatively evaluate the development status of two cities by using an entropy method,a coupling coordination model,and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.The panel vector autoregressive(PVAR)model was used to empirically analyze the interaction between the two cities as well.[Results]①Intensive land use in Guangxi was dominated by resource(0.388)and asset(0.541)intensiveness,and the average composite index increased from 0.104 to 0.318.New-type urbanization was dominated by the scale effect(0.470)and the dividend effect(0.306).The average composite index increased from 0.184 to 0.425.②The coupling coordination degree between intensive land use and new-type urbanization increased from 0.367 to 0.600,and the coupling coordination state showed a good evolution trend of“mild imbalance-near imbalance-low coupling coordination-major coupling coordination”.However,the development of each municipal unit was quite different.③According to the PVAR model results,there was a significant interaction between new-type urbanization and intensive land use.However,the influence of intensive land use level on new-type urbanization level was greater(47.11%)than that of new-type urbanization level on intensive land use level(35.05%).[Conclusion]Compared with new-type urbanization,the“resource-asset-capital”attribute of intensive land use belonged to the category of productivity.Compared with intensive land use,the“scale-agglomeration-dividend-wealth”effect of new-type urbanization belonged to the cate

关 键 词：土地集约利用 新型城镇化 PVAR模型 交互关系 时空锥理论 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济] F129.9