中国经济内外循环度演变及空间集聚  

Evolution of Internal-external Circulation of China’s Economy and Spatial Agglomeration

作　　者：曹俊文[1] 曹玲娟[1] Cao Junwen;Cao Lingjuan(School of Statistics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学统计学院,南昌330013

出　　处：《统计与决策》2023年第8期80-85,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(19BTJ009,21BTJ010);江西财经大学第十七届学生科研课题项目(20220909191121919)。

摘　　要：在贸易比较偏好视角下研究我国经济内外循环度的演变特征及其空间集聚状况,有助于加快建成“双循环”新发展格局。文章基于区域投入产出表构建了2012年与2017年的省内贸易、省际贸易需求、省际贸易供给、国际贸易需求和国际贸易供给共五类贸易比较偏好指数,重点考察我国的贸易比较偏好及供需视角下的经济内外循环度特征。结果表明:我国贸易以国内大循环为主,内陆省份如东北三省、河南和江西偏好国内循环经济,沿海省份如广东、江苏、上海和福建则更注重国际贸易流通;从行业层面来看,制造行业中的劳动密集型制造业和知识密集型制造业已初步呈现“以国内大循环为主、国际循环相辅”的特征,而服务行业中的劳动密集型服务业则以国内经济大循环为主。From the perspective of trade comparative preference,studying the evolution characteristics of internal and external circulation of China’s economy and its spatial agglomeration helps to accelerate the construction of a new development pattern of Dual Cycle.Based on the regional input-output table,this paper constructs five types of trade comparison preference indexes for intra-provincial trade,inter-provincial trade demand,inter-provincial trade supply,international trade demand and international trade supply in 2012 and 2017,and then focuses on China’s trade comparative preference and the characteristics of economic internal and external circulation from the perspective of supply and demand.The results are shown as below:China’s trade is mainly based on domestic great circulation;inland provinces such as the three northeastern provinces,Henan and Jiangxi prefer domestic circulation,and coastal provinces such as Guangdong,Jiangsu,Shanghai and Fujian pay more attention to international trade circulation.From the industry level,the labor-intensive manufacturing industry and knowledge-intensive manufacturing industry have initially shown the characteristics of“mainly domestic great circulation and complementary international circulation”,while the labor-intensive service industry in the service industry is dominated by the domestic economic circulation.

关 键 词：“双循环” 需求与供给 贸易比较偏好 内外循环度 国内大循环 

分 类 号：F124.1[经济管理—世界经济]