马尔萨斯谬论与社会保障危机  

The Malthusian Fallacy and the Social Security Crises

作　　者：王云多[1] WANG Yun-duo(College of Economics and Business Administration,Heilongjiang University,Harbin 150080,Heilongjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]黑龙江大学经济与工商管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150080

出　　处：《贵阳学院学报（社会科学版）》2023年第2期39-45,共7页Journal of Guiyang University:Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“生育率下降与预期寿命延长双重约束下养老保险制度可持续性研究”(项目编号:16BRK016);黑龙江省社会科学规划基金“人口老龄化与城市化双重约束下黑龙江省城乡居民养老保险待遇适度水平研究”(项目编号:22RKB166)。

摘　　要：马尔萨斯和新马尔萨斯主义者关注人口的指数增长以及这种增长对世界的不利影响,但是,他们没有考虑到有些因素可能抵消人口增长的变化,马尔萨斯人口谬论理论的根基是建立在两个级数等错误假设的基础上,而不考虑其他因素变化。在生育高峰期时期出生的老年人以创纪录的数量走向退休之际,分析马尔萨斯人口谬论的根源,可以探讨社会保障制度面临的挑战及出路。Malthusians and neo-Malthusians focus on the exponential growth of population and the adverse effects of such growth on the world,but they have failed to take into account the changes that may offset population growth.The fundamental problem leading to the fallacy of Malthusian demographic theory is the false assumptions two changing parameters,without caring for the change of other factors.At a time when gray-haired baby boomers are retiring at a record number,this paper studies the challenges and solution for the social security system through an analysis of the roots of the Malthusian demographic fallacy.

关 键 词：生育 人口变动 社会保障 危机 

分 类 号：C971[经济管理—劳动经济]