航天器材料应用验证信息提取与研判方法  

Extraction and Research-judgment Methods of Spacecraft Material Application Verification Information

作　　者：刘泊天 高鸿[1] 李岩[1] 于利夫 王志强[2] LIU Botian;GAO Hong;LI Yan;YU Lifu;WANG Zhiqiang(China Academy of Space Technology,Beijing 100094;Beijing Institute of Tracking and Telecommunications Technology,Beijing 100094)

机构地区：[1]中国空间技术研究院,北京100094 [2]北京跟踪与通信技术研究所,北京100094

出　　处：《宇航材料工艺》2023年第2期7-13,共7页Aerospace Materials & Technology

摘　　要：当前航天器材料应用验证工作中必须解决的问题主要集中反映在验证需求的合理性、驱动性,验证对象的信息准确性、功能覆盖性以及验证结果判读决策性和可复用性。为了更好地解决这些问题,本文利用德尔菲调查、头脑风暴、文本挖掘、环境扫描、情景规划、回溯预测、趋势外推、多准则决策等科学研究方法,设计了验证对象研判、需求&技术研判、难度&风险研判、验证路径研判、数据&结果研判等模型,建立了系统性、原则性的信息提取与研判的要求和流程。通过材料应用验证信息提取与研判方法的制定,可有效保障验证实施精准性,提升验证工作质量。At present,the problems encounter in the spacecraft material application verification work are mainly reflected in the rationality,the actuation,the information accuracy,functional coverage of the verification object,as well as the decisiveness and reusability of the interpretation of the verification results.In order to solve these problems,the verification object research-judgment,demand&technology research-judgment,difficulties&risks research-judgment,verification route research-judgment,datum&results research-judgment and other models are designed via scientific research methods such as the Delphi method,brain storming method,text mining method,environment scanning method,scenario planning method,backcasting method,trend extrapolation method and multiple criteria decision making method.The systematic and principled requirements and workflow of information-extraction and research-judgment are established in this paper.Throughout the formulation of the information-extraction and research-judgment methods for material application verification,the accuracy of the implement of application verification is ensured,and the quality of verification work is improved.

关 键 词：航天器 材料 应用验证 研判 

分 类 号：V45[一般工业技术—材料科学与工程]