数字贸易如何影响贸易高质量发展——基于贸易全要素生产率视角的经验证据  

How Does Digital Trade Affect the High-quality DevelHow Does Digital Trade Affect the High-quality Development of Trade:Empirical Evidence Based on the TFP Perspective opment of Trade:Empirical Evidence Based on the TFP

作　　者：杨慧瀛[1] 杨宏举 Yang Huiying;Yang Hongju(School of Economics,Harbin University of Commerce,Harbin 150028,China)

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨商业大学经济学院,哈尔滨150028

出　　处：《技术经济》2023年第3期40-51,共12页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目“RCEP背景下黑龙江省深度融入国内国际双循环的路径及对策研究”(22JYB237)。

摘　　要：贸易高质量发展是高效优质利用国内国际两种市场和资源的关键抓手,能够有力推动双循环新发展格局及经济高质量发展。基于2010—2020年中国省际数据,实证考察了数字贸易对贸易高质量发展的影响及相关作用机制。研究发现,一是数字贸易能够有效促进贸易高质量发展,且这种影响受到市场开放度的调节;此外,从数字贸易各维度看,其对贸易高质量发展的影响存在异质性。二是数字贸易能够通过产业结构和物流业升级对贸易高质量发展产生推动作用。三是空间回归表明某一地区数字贸易发展会对周边地区产生负向溢出效应。进一步的拓展性分析发现,在东部、中部地区数字贸易能够有效推动贸易高质量发展,对西部地区虽有促进作用,但并不明显;数字贸易各维度中,数字技术在中部地区对贸易高质量发展具有显著促进作用,数字产业化贸易在东部、中部地区对贸易高质量发展具有显著促进作用。研究有助于理清数字贸易和贸易高质量发展之间的逻辑关系及作用机制,为我国通过发展数字贸易进而推动贸易高质量发展提供了理论和经验支撑,为政策决策提供建议。The high-quality development of trade is the key to efficient and high-quality utilization of domestic and international markets and resources,which can effectively promote the new development pattern of dual circulation and high-quality economic development.Based on China’s interprovincial data from 2010 to 2020,the impact of digital trade on the high-quality development of trade and related mechanisms were empirically investigated.The study finds that,first,digital trade can effectively promote the high-quality development of trade,and this impact is regulated by market openness.In addition,from the perspective of digital trade,its impact on the high-quality development of trade is heterogeneous.Second,digital trade can promote the high-quality development of trade through the upgrading of industrial structure and logistics industry.Third,spatial regression shows that the development of digital trade in a certain region will have a negative spillover effect on the surrounding areas.Further expansive analysis shows that digital trade in the eastern and central regions can effectively promote the high-quality development of trade,and although it has a promoting effect on the western region.It is not obvious.Among the dimensions of digital trade,digital technology plays a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of trade in the central region,and digital industrialized trade has a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of trade in the eastern and central regions.The research helps to clarify the logical relationship and mechanism between digital trade and high-quality development of trade,provides theoretical and empirical support for China to promote high-quality development of trade through the perspective of digital trade,and provides suggestions for policy decision-making.

关 键 词：数字贸易 贸易高质量发展 市场开放度 溢出效应 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易] F49[经济管理—产业经济]