基于熵权-GRA法的EPC市政工程项目风险因素研究  

Research on Risk Factor of Municipal Engineering in EPC Mode Based on Entropy Weight-GRA Method

作　　者：杨艳磊 申建红 朱琛[1] 贾格淋 王迪 YANG Yanlei(School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao Shandong 266520,China)

机构地区：[1]青岛理工大学管理工程学院,山东青岛266520 [2]青岛理工大学智慧城市建设管理研究中心,山东青岛266520

出　　处：《长春工程学院学报（自然科学版）》2023年第1期23-27,共5页Journal of Changchun Institute of Technology：Natural Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71471094)。

摘　　要：市政工程项目中多采用EPC模式进行管理,充分辨识、量化评估EPC市政工程风险能够有效地对EPC市政项目进行风险控制,从EPC市政项目设计、采购、施工、合同管理4个方面建立由20个因素组成的风险因素指标体系,运用熵权-GRA法评价模型,对EPC市政工程项目进行风险因素评价。并结合某市EPC项目实例,分析该项目中的风险,结果表明,该方法能够准确评价市政工程施工安全,为市政工程施工风险评估提供了新思路方面的参考。In municipal engineering,EPC mode is often used for management.Fully identifying and quantifying the risks of municipal engineering in EPC mode can effectively control the risks of projects.A risk factor index system consisting of 20 factors is established from four aspects of EPC municipal project,which are design,procurement,construction and contract management.The evaluation model by entropy weight and GRA method is used to evaluate the risk factors of municipal engineering in EPC mode.Combined with an example of an EPC project in a certain city,the risks in the project are analyzed.It is indicated from the result that this method can accurately evaluate the safety of municipal engineering construction,which provides a new reference for the risk assessment of municipal engineering construction.

关 键 词：熵权法 灰色关联度 EPC 市政工程 风险评价 

分 类 号：TU99[建筑科学—市政工程]