产业转型政策能否推动城市低碳转型——来自资源型和老工业城市产业转型升级示范区的证据  

Can industrial transformation policies promote urban low-carbon transformation?--Evidences from demonstration zones of industrial transformation and updating

作　　者：付奎 张杰[1] 刘炳荣 FU Kui;ZHANG Jie;LIU Bing-rong(School of Economics and Management,Shihezi University,Shihezi 832003,China)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子832003

出　　处：《中国环境科学》2023年第5期2590-2600,共11页China Environmental Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(20BJL090);新疆维吾尔自治区研究生科研创新项目(XJ2022G094)。

摘　　要：基于2009—2019年158个地级市样本数据,运用非径向超效率SBM-DEA模型测算城市低碳转型的动态评估指数,采用双重差分法考察了产业转型政策对老工业城市和资源型城市低碳转型的影响及作用机制.结果表明:(1)样本期内老工业城市和资源型城市全要素碳生产率不断提升,低碳转型进程加快,但相较全国平均水平依然较低,且区域、类型差异明显;(2)产业转型政策显著推动了城市全要素碳生产率提升,低碳转型的动态政策红利持续增强;(3)产业转型政策对资源型、复合型以及集群式城市的低碳治理效果显著,对老工业基地和单一式城市效果欠佳;(4)政府推动下的产业转型政策主要通过结构升级和绿色创新机制助推城市低碳转型,集聚经济机制短期内尚未显现.Based on the sample data of 158 cities from 2009 to 2019,the non-radial super-efficiency SBM-DEA model in this paper to calculate the dynamic evaluation index of urban low-carbon transformation,and the double difference model was used to examine the effects and mechanism of industrial transformation policy on low-carbon transition of old industrial cities and resource-based cities.Results suggest that:(1)the total factor carbon productivity of old industrial cities and resource-based cities continued to increase during the sampling period,and the process of low-carbon transformation was accelerated,which,however,was still lower than the national average with obvious regional and type differences;(2)industrial transformation policies significantly promoted the improvement of the urban total factor carbon productivity,and the dynamic policy dividends of low-carbon transformation continued to increase;(3)the industrial transformation policies had a significant effect on the low-carbon governance of resource-based,compound and cluster cities,but a weak effect on old industrial bases and single cities;and(4)the governmental industrial transformation policies mainly promoted urban low-carbon transformation through structural upgrading and green innovation mechanism,but the agglomeration economic mechanism did not emerged in the short term.

关 键 词：产业转型政策 城市低碳转型 资源型城市 老工业城市 双重差分法 

分 类 号：X324[环境科学与工程—环境工程]