第二轮土地承包即将到期之际农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿分析  

Farmers'Willingness to Stabilize the Land Contract Relationship Facing the Upcoming Expiry of Land Contracts

作　　者：汪险生 郭忠兴[2] 宋宇 李宁[3] WANG Xiansheng;GUO Zhongxing;SONGYu LINing

机构地区：[1]南京审计大学公共管理学院 [2]南京农业大学公共管理学院 [3]南京财经大学粮食和物资学院

出　　处：《中国农村经济》2023年第3期157-177,共21页Chinese Rural Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“土地延包中的农民承包权分配诉求及其响应机制研究”(编号:22CGL029)的资助。

摘　　要：在第二轮土地承包即将到期之际,考察农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿及其形成逻辑,对保障农户土地承包权益、化解土地延包时的潜在矛盾以及保持承包地稳定等具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文利用2020年中国土地经济调查数据,探究了家庭人均承包地面积差异对农户稳定土地承包关系意愿的影响。研究结果显示:绝大多数农户支持土地承包关系稳定;家庭人均承包地面积低于本村平均水平越多,农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿越弱。家庭人均承包地面积差异对中等收入农户和低收入农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿影响更大。土地流转市场的发展未能提升地少农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿。受新冠疫情影响,土地就业保障功能得以显化,由此导致地少农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿趋弱。农业社会化服务的普及同样会使地少农户稳定土地承包关系的意愿下降。On the verge of the expiry of land contracts,it is theoretically and practically important to explore the willingness and motivations of farmers to stabilize the land contract relationship,with regards to protecting their land contract rights,addressing potential contradictions during the land contract extension,and maintaining the stability of contracted land.Using China Land Economic Survey Data in 2020,this paper explores the impact of differences in areas per capita of household contracted land on farmers'willingness to stabilize land contract relationship.The findings show that most farmers support the stability of land contract relationship;the smaller areas per capita of contracted land are occupied by households than the average in the village,the weaker of the farmers'willingness to stabilize the land contract relationship.The difference between the areas per capita of contracted land ownership of a household and the average in the village has a greater impact on the willingness to stabilize land contract relationship for middle-and low-income farmers,while the development of land transfer market does not increased the willingness.Affected by the COVID-19 pandemic,the land plays a more important role of employment security,which reduces farmers'willingness to stabilize the land contract relationship.Furthermore,the promotion of socialized agricultural service has also mitigated the willingness of farmers o stabilize the land contract relationship.

关 键 词：土地承包关系 承包地 土地调整 

分 类 号：F301.1[经济管理—产业经济]