中国城市韧性与产业结构耦合协调的时空分异研究  

Research on the spatial-temporal differentiation of the coupling and coordination between urban resilience and industrial structure in China

作　　者：史玉芳[1] 张天伦 SHI Yufang;ZHANG Tianlun(School of Management,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710054,China)

机构地区：[1]西安科技大学管理学院,西安710054

出　　处：《科技导报》2023年第8期132-144,共13页Science & Technology Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(70901065);教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(21YJA630078);陕西省科技厅软科学项目(2021KPM149);西安市软科学项目(21RKYJ0015)。

摘　　要：为验证中国城市韧性与产业结构的耦合协调发展关系,分别构建城市韧性与产业结构的评价指标体系,采用熵值法对中国2011—2020年除西藏外30个省的综合水平进行测度,通过耦合协调模型及空间自相关模型分析耦合协调度的时空变化及空间分布特征。结论如下:(1)城市韧性与产业结构整体呈稳步增长趋势,在新冠疫情公共卫生事件背景下,各省城市韧性方面影响不大,但产业结构方面受到不同程度的影响。(2)中国城市韧性与产业结构耦合协调度整体处于上升阶段但水平较低,省份之间差异大,呈“东部沿海地区至西部逐渐减弱,南强北弱”的分布格局。(3)中国城市韧性与产业结构耦合协调度全局呈正相关关系,空间呈集聚非均衡分布,东南地区出现高-高集聚,西北地区出现低-低集聚。未来应统筹城市韧性与产业结构的协同发展,采取具有地域特色的措施进一步提升和促进城市可持续发展。In order to verify the coupling and coordinated development relationship between urban resilience and industrial structure in China,the evaluation index systems of urban resilience and industrial structure were constructed respectively.The entropy method was used to measure the comprehensive level of 30 provinces except Tibet from 2011 to 2020.The spatialtemporal changes and spatial distribution characteristics of the coupling coordination degree were analyzed through the coupling coordination model and spatial autocorrelation model.The results showed as follows:(1)The overall urban resilience and industrial structure show a steady growth trend.In the face of the public health event of the new epidemic,the resilience of cities in each province has little impact,and the industrial structure is affected to varying degrees.(2)The coordination degree of urban resilience and industrial structure in China is on the rise as a whole,but the level is relatively low,and the provincial differences are large,showing a distribution pattern of"gradually weakening from the eastern coastal areas to the western regions,and strong in the south and weak in the north".(3)The overall relationship between urban resilience and industrial structure coupling coordination degree in China is positive,and the spatial distribution is uneven,with high concentration in the southeast and low concentration in the northwest.In the future,coordinated development of urban resilience and industrial structure should be coordinated,and measures with regional characteristics should be taken to further promote sustainable urban development.

关 键 词：城市韧性 产业结构 耦合协调 时空分异 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济] F299.21