人口老龄化影响旅游产业结构的作用机制研究  

Study on the Function Mechanism of Population Aging Affecting the Tourism Industry Structure

作　　者：滕新才 王路一 TENG Xin-Cai;WANG Lu-Yi(School of business administration,Chongqing Three Gorges University,Wanzhou 404020,Chongqing,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆三峡学院工商管理学院,重庆404020

出　　处：《长江师范学院学报》2023年第3期19-27,共9页Journal of Yangtze Normal University

基　　金：重庆市研究生科研创新项目“后疫情时代下成渝双城经济圈康养旅游高质量发展研究”(CYS22707)。

摘　　要：基于2009—2018年的省级面板数据,运用中介模型等实证方法,探讨老龄化对旅游产业结构的影响,研究结论是:(1)在全国层面上,老龄化对于旅游产业结构合理化具有促进作用,对于旅游产业高级化具有抑制作用。(2)老龄化对于旅游产业结构的影响作用具有鲜明的区域差异,中部地区最明显,东部地区次之。(3)老龄化对于旅游产业结构的影响主要通过需求与劳动力供给的中介效应来实现。(4)老龄化对于旅游产业结构升级的影响具有明显的门限特征。这些结论可为老龄化背景下的旅游产业结构优化提供有益的理论参考。Based on the provincial panel data from 2009 to 2018,using empirical methods such as mediation model,the pa⁃per discusses the impact of aging on the structure of tourism industry.The conclusions are as follows:(1)At the national level,aging can promote the rationalization of the tourism industry structure,and upgrade of the tourism industry.(2)The aging has great influence on the structure of tourism industry.There are distinct regional differences,the most obvious in the central re⁃gion,followed by the eastern region.(3)The impact of aging on the tourism industry structure is mainly realized through the inter⁃mediary effect of demand and labor supply.(4)The impact of aging on the upgrading of tourism industry structure has obvious threshold characteristics.These conclusions can provide useful theoretical reference for the rationalization of tourism industry structure under the background of aging.

关 键 词：旅游产业结构 中介效应 产业结构合理化 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]