区域外贸信用生态位适宜度与空间分布——基于2012—2021年中国31个省份大数据的实证研究  

Niche Suitability and Spatial Distribution of Regional Foreign Trade Credit—Big Data Empirical Study of 31 Provinces in China from 2012 to 2021

作　　者：丁玲[1] 韩家平[1] 苏玲 单雪寒 DING Ling;HAN Jiaping;SU Ling;SHAN Xuehan(Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation)

机构地区：[1]商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院信用研究所 [2]商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院

出　　处：《国际贸易》2023年第5期84-96,共13页Intertrade

基　　金：国家社科青年基金项目“数字贸易重塑全球经贸规则的逻辑、挑战及中国应对研究”(22CGJ024)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：区域外贸信用生态位适宜度是衡量区域外贸发展环境的重要综合指标。文章以2012—2021年中国31个省份的区域外贸信用生态位为研究对象,探索区域外贸信用生态位适宜度与空间分布情况。结果表明:(1)中国外贸信用生态位适宜度,尤其是群落活力、信贷资源、诚信合规行为、技术信用潜力生态位适宜度仍具有较大的提升空间;(2)中国区域外贸信用总体呈梯度分布且地理空间存在高高聚集或低低离散的正相关关系,沿海地区外贸信用生态位适宜度较高;(3)中国区域外贸信用生态位适宜度与外贸发展呈正相关关系,区域信贷资源、技术信用潜力和人均实力对区域外贸发展的正向影响效应强。由此,文章分析得出如下几点启示:促进区域外贸信用生态位扩展和进化能力,强化区域外贸信用统一大市场和产业聚集效应,优化升级区域外贸信用生态位和产业结构。The niche suitability of regional foreign trade credit is a critical signifier of regional foreign trade development environment.This article takes the regional foreign trade credit niche of 31 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021 as the research object,and explores the suitability and spatial distribution of regional foreign trade credit niche.The results show that:(1)The niche suitability of China's foreign trade credit has a large space for improvement,especially in terms of the community vitality niche,credit resource niche,integrity compliance behavior niche and technology credit potential niche.(2)China's regional foreign trade credit generally presents a gradient distribution and positive correlation in the geographical space.The niche suitabilities of China's foreign trade credit in the coastal areas are relatively high.(3)The niche suitability of foreign trade credit is positively correlated with the development of foreign trade in China.The regional credit resources,technical credit potential and per capita strength have strong positive influence on the regional foreign trade development.Therefore,this paper analyzes and draws the following enlightenments:promoting the expansion and evolution ability of regional foreign trade credit niche,strengthening the unified large market and industrial agglomeration effect of regional foreign trade credit,and optimizing and upgrading regional foreign trade credit niche and industrial structure.

关 键 词：区域外贸信用 生态位适宜度 进化动量 经济开放 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]