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作 者:刘斌[1] Liu Bin(PetroChina Liaohe Oilfield Company,Panjin 124010,China)
机构地区:[1]中国石油辽河油田公司
出 处:《石油科技论坛》2023年第2期57-66,共10页PETROLEUM SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FORUM
基 金:中国石油天然气股份有限公司勘探与生产分公司科技专项“辽河油田碳驱油碳埋存研究与试验”(编号:kt2021-08-05)。
摘 要:CCUS-EOR是驱油与埋存并行、效益与环保并重的绿色开发技术,已成为油气田企业实现碳中和目标技术组合的重要组成部分。CCUS-EOR项目的决策,不仅取决于技术攻关,更多是经济考量。“现金流量法+衍生方法”是由现金流评价发展的新方法,将现金流量法与各类项目经济评价精准融合。CCUS-EOR项目经济评价方法为现金流法+有无对比法,通过技术和经济两大类、18项指标评价其可行性。在“双碳”目标驱动下,CCUS-EOR项目经济评价技术将朝着先导试验评价、全产业链经济评价、碳源评价、多方案比选、多情景分析、投入产出一体化数据库建设6个方向发展。CCUS-EOR is a green development technology that combines oil displacement with burial and economic benefits with environmental protection.It has become an important integral part of the technology portfolio for the oil and gas enterprises to bring about carbon neutrality.The decisions made for the CCUS-EOR project not only depends on technological breakthroughs but also takes the economic factors into consideration.The“cash flow method+derivation method”is the new method developed from the cash flow evaluation to highlight precise integration of the cash flow method with economic evaluation of various projects.The economic evaluation method of the CCUS-EOR project is the cash flow method+the withand-without comparison method to evaluate the feasibility of the project on the basis of 18 indexes in two categories of technology and economics.Driven by the carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals,the economic evaluation technology of the CCUS-EOR project will develop in the six directions of pilot experimental evaluation,full industrial chain economic evaluation,carbon source evaluation,comparison and selection of several options,analysis of multiple situations,and construction of the integrated databank of investment and production.
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