乌克兰危机后的东北亚地区安全形势  

The Security Situation in Northeast Asia after the Ukraine Crisis

作　　者：巴殿君[1,2] 冯冠 耿菲蔓 BA Dianjun;FENG Guan;GENG Feiman

机构地区：[1]吉林大学东北亚研究中心 [2]东北亚研究院学术委员会 [3]吉林大学东北亚研究院,长春130012

出　　处：《东北亚学刊》2023年第3期15-28,146,共15页Journal of Northeast Asia Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD810033);教育部高校国别和区域研究课题(2021-N13);吉林省哲学社会科学基金项目(马工程专项2021M10);吉林大学“十四五首批哲学社会科学”项目(2022CXTD11)。

摘　　要：乌克兰危机爆发以来,东北亚安全不确定性增强。乌克兰危机推进了东北亚安全秩序重塑,呈现新旧秩序交替特征。从力量格局看,未来中美战略互动将对地区安全局势起到主导性作用,美日韩与美日台“三方安全合作”不断强化,美国对华“战略遏制”将会加强,东北亚周边安全挑战压力增大,摩擦增加并将呈现多发态势。Since the outbreak of Russia-Ukraine conflict,the uncertainty of security in Northeast Asia has increased.By the influence of Russia-Ukraine conflict,the security order in Northeast Asia are remodeling and showing the characteristics of the alternation between new and old orders.From the perspective of power pattern,trilateral security cooperation among U.S.-Japan-ROK and U.S.-Japan-Taiwan has been continually strengthened.In the future,the strategic interaction between China and the U.S.will play a dominant role in regional security situation.The US will reinforce its“strategic containment”of China,while Japan and ROK will play a role of“strategy of hold in play”against China.While the pressure of security challenges and friction around Northeast Asia has increased,security challenges in Northeast Asia will present multiple situations.

关 键 词：乌克兰危机 东北亚安全 美日韩 美日台 中美关系 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]