基于兵棋推演的联合侦察预警能力评估  

Capacity assessment of joint reconnaissance&warning system based on wargame

作　　者：李志强[1] 刘经德 殷来祥 曹毅[1] 付琼莹 LI Zhiqiang;LIU Jingde;YIN Laixiang;CAO Yi;FU Qiongying(Joint Operation Institute,National Defense University,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]国防大学联合作战学院,北京100091

出　　处：《指挥控制与仿真》2023年第3期71-77,共7页Command Control & Simulation

摘　　要：联合侦察预警体系的能力指标是联合作战指挥员在作战筹划与指挥控制阶段关注的重要基础信息之一。根据联合作战指挥员对联合侦察预警能力分析评估需求,基于兵棋推演基础想定和实时推演数据,采用体系能力边界静态评估与实时作战效能评估相结合的方法,从宏观整体与局部细节不同层次系统全面地评估联合侦察预警体系作战能力,设计构建了联合侦察预警体系基本作战能力与实时作战效能评估两大类十五个具体评估指标,并对每一个评估指标的内涵、外延和计算方法进行了详细阐述;最后,基于兵棋推演基础想定和推演模型输出结果,设计并实现了联合侦察预警体系能力评估软件工具,为兵棋推演中面向指挥员的联合侦察预警能力评估提供了新思路和新方法。The capability assessment of the joint reconnaissance and early warning system provides the fundamental information for the joint combat commanders to execute combat planning and command and control.According to the urgent needs of the joint operations commander to analyze and evaluate the capability of the joint reconnaissance and early warning system,based on the basic scenarios and real-time deduction data of the joint combat wargame,this paper evaluates the joint reconnaissance and early warning system by combining the static capability boundary evaluation and the real-time combat effectiveness evaluation.According to the evaluation requirements,fifteen specific evaluation indicators from two categories of basic combat capability evaluation and real-time combat effectiveness evaluation are designed and constructed.And the connotation,extension and calculation method of each evaluation index are elaborated.Finally,based on the basic scenario data of the joint combat wargame system and the output data of the game model,this paper constructs the capability evaluation software tool for the joint reconnaissance and early warning system,which provides new ideas and new methods for the capability evaluation of the joint reconnaissance and early warning system to solve the key information requirements of the commander in the wargame.

关 键 词：侦察预警 体系能力 指标体系 兵棋推演 

分 类 号：E917[军事]