基于EKC视角的浙江省海洋渔业碳净排放与行业增长关系的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Net Carbon Emissions of Marine Fisheries and Industry Growth in Zhejiang Province Based on the Perspective of EKC

作　　者：朱徐凯 谭春兰[1] ZHU Xukai;TAN Chunan(College of Economics and Management,Shanghai Ocean University,Shanghai 201306,China)

机构地区：[1]上海海洋大学经济管理学院,上海201306

出　　处：《海洋经济》2023年第2期55-63,共9页Marine Economy

摘　　要：海洋渔业作为减排降碳的新增对象,探讨海洋渔业碳净排放与经济增长之间的关系对于促进我国低碳渔业的发展研究具有十分重要的意义。基于浙江省2005—2019年的数据,通过对海洋渔业人均碳净排放量与人均产值的长期趋势进行拟合,发现浙江省的海洋渔业发展确实符合环境库次涅茨曲线(EKC)假说的倒“U”形。同时对所拟合得出的结果进行单位根检验、协整检验以及格兰杰因果检验,确定了浙江省海洋渔业人均碳净排放量与人均产值之间的单向因果关系,即在浙江省的海洋渔业生产中,经济增长是导致二氧化碳排放量上升的主要原因,但二氧化碳的增长并不能推动经济进步。由此就浙江的海洋捕捞、海水养殖以及产业结构方面的调整提出相对应的可行性建议,以期浙江省海洋渔业节能减排工作可以更好地开展。As a new target of emission reduction and carbon reduction,exploring the relationship between net marine fishery carbon emissions and economic growth is of great significance for promoting the development of low-carbon fisheries in my country.Based on the data of Zhejiang Province from 2005 to 2019,this paper found that the development of marine fisheries in Zhejiang Province is indeed in line with the"Inverted U-shape"of the Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC)hypothesis by fitting the long-term trends of per capital net carbon emissions of marine fisheries and per capital output value.At the same time,unit root test,cointegration test and Granger causality test were performed on the fitted results,and the one-way causal relationship between per capital net carbon emissions and per capital output value of marine fisheries in Zhejiang Province was determined.In the marine fishery production of China,economic growth is the main reason for the increase in carbon dioxide emissions,but the growth of carbon dioxide cannot promote economic progress.Therefore,corresponding feasibility suggestions are put forward on Zhejiang's marine fishing,mariculture and industrial structure adjustment,in the hope that Zhejiang's marine fishery energy saving and emission reduction work can be better carried out.

关 键 词：海洋渔业 碳净排放 EKC假说 倒“U”形 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济] P7[天文地球—海洋科学]