数字经济发展对碳排放强度的影响——基于中国278个地级市的空间面板分析  

Impact of development of digital economy on urban carbon emission intensity:Based on spatial panel analysis of 278 cities in China

作　　者：董楠楠[1] 孙锐 郑宏越 白丹妮 DONG Nannan;SUN Rui;ZHENG Hongyue;BAI Danni(Business School,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《科技与管理》2023年第3期26-36,共11页Science-Technology and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(20BJY055);浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题项目(20NDJC074YB);宁波市软科学研究一般项目(2022R037)。

摘　　要：随着我国“30·60”双碳目标的提出和数字经济的发展,数字经济发展对于碳排放强度的影响方式和作用机制日益引起国内外经济界的关注,数字经济发展对于碳排放强度的影响呈现既促进又减少的双向效应,基于不同数据和模型的研究结论也呈现差异化的结果。本文基于中国2006—2019年278个地级市的城市面板数据,采用空间杜宾模型分析数字经济发展对碳排放强度的影响,并进一步分析其空间溢出效应和作用机制。研究结果表明:数字经济的发展对城市本地的碳排放强度起促进作用;从空间溢出效应看,对周边地区的碳排放有负向空间溢出作用;从作用机制看,主要通过数字经济发展的规模效应实现。With the proposal of“30·60”double carbon target and the development of digital economy in China,the influence mode and mechanism of digital economy development on carbon emission intensity have attracted increasing attention from domestic and foreign economic circles.On the one hand,from the perspective of industrial structure,the optimization of industrial structure is helpful to improve the productivity level of the whole society.The use of digital technology represented by digital information and electronic communication technology in industrial sectors has rapidly improved machine productivity and energy clean efficiency,thus reducing carbon emissions from the perspective of average emissions.From this perspective,the development of digital economy has made positive contributions to carbon emissions.On the other hand,however,the development of digital economy will also have a negative impact on carbon dioxide emissions.With the increase of capital investment and the expansion of production caused by the improvement of production efficiency,the scale effect caused by the increase of the use of machinery and equipment has also brought about an increase in carbon emissions.In addition,because all information and communication technology products needed for the development of digital economy need electricity to run,the rapid development of digital economy has led to an increase in power demand,and the electricity consumption related to information and communication technology in workplaces and families has also increased significantly,and electricity is the biggest contributor to carbon emissions,which will inevitably lead to an increase in carbon emissions.To sum up,the impact of the development of digital economy on carbon emission intensity shows a two-way effect of both promoting and reducing.At present,there is no consensus on the research of this impact mode and intensity,there are abundant studies on digital economy and carbon emissions in economics,but there is no agreement on the measurement methods

关 键 词：数字经济 碳排放强度 空间溢出效应 规模效应 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]