黄河流域产业匹配动态演变及其对经济高质量发展的影响——以高端服务业与先进制造业为例  

The Dynamic Evolution of Industry Matching and its Impact on the High-quality Economic Development in the Yellow River Basin——Based on High-class Service Industry and Advanced Manufacturing Industry

作　　者：王晓川[1] 孙秋雨 WANG Xiao-chuan;SUN Qiu-yu(School of Management,China University of Mining&Technology,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《经济问题》2023年第6期120-128,F0003,共10页On Economic Problems

摘　　要：基于2004—2020年黄河流域省际面板数据,采用物理容量耦合模型对各省区高端服务业与先进制造业匹配发展水平进行测度,并运用核密度估计法和空间杜宾模型,深入分析产业匹配发展的时空演变特征及其与经济高质量发展之间的关系。研究发现:(1)黄河流域九省区高端服务业与先进制造业匹配发展水平具有较大差异,其中山东省处于初级协调阶段,匹配发展水平相对较高。(2)黄河流域产业匹配密度分布曲线的中心右移,表现出右拖尾,其密度函数呈现偏态分布,表明黄河流域产业匹配发展呈上升态势,但省区间具有非平衡发展特征。(3)产业匹配不仅能对本省区经济高质量发展产生促进作用,还对周边省区存在正向溢出效应,不同生产性服务业与先进制造业匹配对本地及周边省区的经济高质量发展影响各异。Based on provincial panel data from 2004 to 2020 in the Yellow River Basin,measure the matching degree between high-class service industry and advanced manufacturing industry using coupling coordination model,and analysis the spatial-temporal evolution characterisitics and the relationship between industry match⁃ing and the high-quality economic development using Kernel density estimation method and spatial Durbin model.The results show that:The matching development levels of high-class service industry and advanced manufactur⁃ing industry in the Yellow River Basin are quite different,Shandong Province is in the primary coordination stage,and its matching development level is relatively high.The center of the density distribution curve of the index of the matching degree between high-class service industry and advanced manufacturing industry in the Yellow Riv⁃er Basin is shifted to the right,and shows a right trailing,and its density function is biased distribution,indicating that the development of industry matching in the Yellow River Basin shows an upward trend,but the provinces have non-equilibrium development characteristics.The industry matching can not only promote the high-quality economic development of local province,but also have a positive spillover effect on the he high-quality economic development of surrounding provinces,the different matching between High-class Service Industry and Advanced Manufacturing Industry have different impacts on the high-quality economic development of local and surrounding provinces.

关 键 词：黄河流域 产业匹配 经济高质量发展 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]