“经济—资源—环境”协调发展的水平测度及影响因素——基于四川省21个市州数据的实证分析  

On Level Measurement of “Economy-Resource-Environment” Coordinated Development and Its Influential Factors:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Data of 21 Cities and Prefectures in Sichuan Province

作　　者：王丽英[1] 刘雨坤 WANG Li-ying;LIU Yu-kun(School of Management Science,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,Sichuan,China;School of Mathematics and Science,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,Sichuan,China)

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学管理科学学院,四川成都610059 [2]成都理工大学数理学院,四川成都610059

出　　处：《国土资源科技管理》2023年第3期46-60,共15页Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(20YJA790044);四川省科技计划项目(软科学研究)(2022JDR0161);四川省教育厅四川省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地四川灾害经济研究中心2022年度项目(ZHJJ2022-ZD002)。

摘　　要：经济发展必然会消耗大量资源,给自然与环境带来巨大压力。本文使用2010—2020年四川省21个市州的面板数据,测度了经济、资源、环境综合发展水平,用耦合协调度模型、灰色GM(1,N)模型分析了四川省及市州经济、资源、环境协调发展现状、时空差异和影响因素。研究表明:(1)2010—2020年间经济、资源、环境系统间为高水平耦合状态,经济发展是主要原因;(2)耦合度区域差异逐渐缩小,多数地区耦合度水平平稳上升,个别地区波动较大;(3)耦合协调发展水平持续提高,呈现出阶段性波动特征;(4)各市州耦合协调水平可分为三个发展阶段;(5)协调水平主要呈现中高东低的态势,区域间协调联动机制尚未形成;(6)协调发展驱动力相对较弱,主要受制于产业结构、企业发展、资源配置及环境质量。Economic development will inevitably consume a lot of resources,which will bring great pressure to nature and the environment.Based on the panel data of 21 cities and prefectures in Sichuan province from 2010 to 2020,the paper measured the comprehensive development level of the economy,resources and environment in these places and analyzed the coordinated development status of the economy,resources and environment in Sichuan province and its prefectures,as well as the spatialtemporal differences and influential factors with the help of the coupling coordination degree model and grey GM(1,N) model.The study showed that:(1) A high level of coupling state among economic,resource and environmental systems from 2010 to 2020 was attributed to the economic development;(2) The regional differences of coupling degree which increased steadily in most regions,but fluctuated greatly in some regions was decreasing gradually;(3) The coupling coordination development had been continuously improved,showing the characteristics of periodic fluctuations;(4) The coupling coordination level of each city and prefecture could be divided into three development stages;(5) The coordination level was mainly high in the middle and low in the east,and the inter-regional coordination mechanism had not been formed yet;(6) The driving force of coordinated development was relatively weak,and mainly restricted by industrial structure,enterprise development,resource allocation and environmental quality.

关 键 词：经济—资源—环境 耦合协调 水平测度 影响因素 

分 类 号：F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]