基于累积前景理论的偏远校区学生返城出行方式选择研究  

Study on Students'Choice of Travel Mode in Remote Campus on Basis of Cumulative Prospect Theory

作　　者：黄瑞美 黄正锋[1] 李广耀 HUANG Rui-mei;HUANG Zheng-feng;LI Guang-yao(Faculty of Maritime and Transportation,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315832,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学海运学院,浙江宁波315832

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2023年第5期133-141,共9页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：为了研究偏远校区学生返城出行行为,在出行者有限理性的假设下,基于累积前景理论对个体出行方式选择行为进行描述和分析.以宁波大学梅山校区学生返城出行行为为例,以实际调查数据作为检验标准,发现累积前景理论获得的出行方式选择结果与通过调查获得的多数人的选择结果相同,优于传统期望效应理论计算的结果.In order to study the travel behavior of students in remote campuses,under the assumption of traveler's bounded rationality,this paper researched the individual travel mode choice behavior on basis of the cumulative prospect theory.Taking the students'return trip behavior of Meishan Campus of Ningbo University as an example,and using the actual survey data as the test standard,we found that the result of travel mode choice obtained by the cumulative prospect theory is the same as most people's choice in the survey,which is better than the result calculated by the traditional expectation effect theory.

关 键 词：偏远校区 返城出行方式选择 累积前景理论 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]