海南与南海周边国家地缘经济联系强度及影响因素  

Geo-economic linkages intensity and influencing factors between Hainan and neighboring countries in the South China Sea

作　　者：文辉 王凤霞[1] 蔡小雪 WEN Hui;WANG Feng-xia;CAI Xiao-xue(Tourism College,Hainan University,Haikou 570228,China)

机构地区：[1]海南大学旅游学院,海南海口570228

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2023年第6期756-762,共7页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:42261064);海南省社会科学界联合会(编号:HNSK(YB)19-09);2022年海南省高等学校科学研究项目(编号:Hnky2022ZD-4)。

摘　　要：基于修正的引力模型分析1988—2020年海南与南海周边国家地缘经济联系强度时空演变,并借助灰色关联度模型揭示地缘经济联系强度的影响因素。结果表明:①海南与南海周边国家地缘经济联系强度整体呈现曲折上升的特征,不同国家增幅差异极大,并将整个发展阶段划分为缓慢增长期、快速上升期、大幅回落期和急剧反弹期。②海南与南海周边国家地缘经济联系强度的空间格局呈现稳中有变的特征,并存在北高南低的区域格局差异。③外商直接投资、GDP、入境旅游收入、货物出口额、货物进口额是驱动海南与南海周边国家进行经济联系的主导因素。Based on the revised gravity model,this paper analyzed the temporal and spatial evolution of the geo-economic linkages intensity between Hainan and neighboring countries in the South China Sea from 1988 to 2020,and used the grey correlation model to reveal the factors influencing the geo-economic linkages intensity.The results showed that:①The geo-economic linkage intensity between Hainan and the surrounding countries in the South China Sea indicated a tortuous increase as a whole,the growth rate varied greatly among different countries,and the whole development stage could be divided into a slow growth period,a rapid rise period,a sharp fall period and a sharp rebound period.②The spatial pattern of the geo-economic connectivity intensity between Hainan and the countries surrounding the South China Sea indicated changes in a stable trend,and it tended to be higher in the north and lower in the south.③Foreign direct investment,GDP,inbound tourism revenue,export value of goods,and import value of goods were the leading factors stimulating Hainan′s economic to tie with neighboring countries in the South China Sea.

关 键 词：地缘经济联系强度 自由贸易港 灰色关联度 南海 

分 类 号：F592.99[经济管理—旅游管理]