基于贝叶斯网络的武器装备体系作战效能评估方法  

Overview of Operational Effectiveness Evaluation Methods of System of Weapon Equipment Based on Bayesian Network

作　　者：于小岚 熊伟 YU Xiaolan;XIONG Wei(Science and Technology on Complex Electronic System Simulation Laboratory,Space Engineering University,Beijing 101416,China)

机构地区：[1]航天工程大学复杂电子系统仿真国防科技重点实验室,北京101416

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2023年第5期1-8,17,共9页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：复杂电子系统仿真重点实验室基础研究资助项目(DXZLJC、2020、002)。

摘　　要：武器装备体系的作战效能呈现非线性、对抗性、动态性等特点,武器装备体系的建设发展对评估模型的应用分析提出更高的要求。由于贝叶斯网络具备对武器装备体系的效能与指标之间的非线性关系的良好映射能力、对动态过程良好的描述能力、良好的推理分析的能力,基于贝叶斯网络的作战效能评估成为了该领域目前的研究热点之一。论述了武器装备体系的作战效能评估以及贝叶斯网络的发展现状,及基于贝叶斯网络的作战效能评估方法的研究现状,指出了基于贝叶斯网络的武器装备体系作战效能评估方法的发展方向。At present,the combat effectiveness of weapon system is nonlinear,antagonistic and dynamic,and the construction and development of weapon system put forward higher requirements for the application and analysis of evaluation model.As Bayesian network has the ability to map the nonlinear relationship between the effectiveness and index of weapon equipment system,it also has the description capability of the dynamic process and reasoning and analysis ability,the operational effectiveness evaluation based on Bayesian network has become one of the current research hotspots in this field.The operational effectiveness evaluation of weapon equipment system and the development status of Bayesian network are discussed,the research status of operational effectiveness evaluation methods based on Bayesian network is expounded,and the development direction of operational effectiveness evaluation methods of weapon equipment system based on Bayesian network is pointed out.

关 键 词：武器装备体系 作战效能评估 贝叶斯网络 动态贝叶斯网络 推理分析 

分 类 号：N954.13[自然科学总论] TJ01[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]