2023年度国内小麦市场形势展望  

Prospect of Domestic Wheat Market in 2023

作　　者：焦善伟 JIAO Shanwei(Henan Grain Trading Logistics Market Co.,Ltd.,Zhengzhou 450000,China)

机构地区：[1]河南省粮食交易物流市场有限公司,河南郑州450000

出　　处：《种业导刊》2023年第3期6-9,共4页Journal of Seed Industry Guide

摘　　要：进入2023年,国内小麦市场供需总体呈现宽松格局,价格水平持续下跌,前5个月累计下跌幅度最高超过500元/t。主要是因为在市场消费较疲软的情况下,小麦供应有增无减,基层存粮水平同比较高、政策性粮食陆续销售出库、贸易库存销售积极,加之新麦生产形势较好,使得市场各方对后期小麦价格普遍持看空预期。随着新季小麦陆续收割上市,购销市场仍将呈现多元主体入市,且市场化收购占据主导态势,但预计购销双方博弈态势或将表现更加明显,小麦价格波动幅度同比将收窄,收购进程将拉长。Since entering 2023,the overall supply and demand of chinese wheat market has shown a relaxed pattern,and the price level has continued to decline.The cumulative decline in the first five months has exceeded 500 yuan per ton.The main reason is weak consumption,sufficient supply in the wheat market,and the good production situation of new wheat.Various enterprises are not optimistic about the price of wheat in the later stage.As new wheat is harvested and listed one after another,it is expected that the market acquirers and sellers will still exhibit diversified characteristics,and market-oriented acquisitions will still dominate.The game between the two parties will be obvious,and the fluctuation of wheat prices will narrow compared to the same period last year,and the acquisition process will be extended.

关 键 词：小麦 收购市场 供需形势 政策导向 国际市场 

分 类 号：S512[农业科学—作物学]