基于投入占用产出模型和SDA方法的数字经济影响就业机理研究  

Study on Employment Impact of Digital Economy Based on Input Occupancy Output Model and SDA Method

作　　者：马新平 杨志超 郭秋怡 MA Xinping;YANG Zhichao;GUO Qiuyi(School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;China Communications Construction Company Limited,Beijing 100088;Consulting Center for Strategic Assessment of Military Science,Beijing 100091)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京100190 [2]中国交通建设集团有限公司,北京100088 [3]军事科学院战略评估咨询中心,北京100091

出　　处：《系统科学与数学》2023年第4期858-869,共12页Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金应急管理项目(L1724043);中央网信办专家委重大课题(2022zjwwa01)资助课题。

摘　　要：随着数字经济的快速发展,数字经济领域吸纳的就业规模不断扩大,对中国实现更高质量就业和共同富裕产生重要影响.结合中国区域经济发展不均衡的现状,针对区域层面、尤其是边疆欠发达地区开展数字经济对就业的影响机理研究,对于在新时期实施就业优先战略具有重要意义.文章构建了反映区域数字经济特点的不区分进口就业投入占用产出模型,并运用结构分解方法深入分析就业变化,为深入研究分析区域数字经济发展对就业的影响机理提供理论支持;以新疆为例实证分析了数字经济对就业的影响效应,表明新疆数字经济产业的发展能够带动更多其他行业的就业增长,尤其是在消费、投资、出口、国内省外流出、技术变迁方面,数字经济的发展已经成为促进新疆就业增长的重要动力源,对于在新时期实施就业优先战略,确保边疆巩固、边疆发展和边境安全具有重要理论和实践价值.With the rapid development of digital economy,the scale of employment absorbed in the field of digital economy continues to expand,which has an important impact on China's realization of higher quality employment and common prosperity.Based on the current situation of unbalanced regional economic development in China,it is of great significance to carry out research on the impact mechanism of digital economy on employment at the regional level,especially in the underdeveloped border areas,for the implementation of the employment priority strategy in the new era.This paper constructs an input occupation output model of undifferentiated import employment that reflects the characteristics of regional digital economy,and uses structural decomposition method to deeply analyze employment changes,providing theoretical support for in-depth research and analysis of the impact mechanism of regional digital economy development on employment.Taking Xinjiang as an example,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of digital economy on employment,indicating that the development of Xinjiang's digital economy industry can drive employment growth in more other industries,especially in consumption,investment,exports,inland outflows,and technological changes.The development of digital economy has become an important power source to promote employment growth in Xinjiang.It has important theoretical and practical value for the implementation of the employment priority strategy in the new era and for ensuring the consolidation,development and security of the border areas.

关 键 词：数字经济 就业 投入占用产出模型 结构分解技术 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济] F249.27