对口援疆政策对新疆城乡居民收入水平的影响——基于省域和市域层面的分析  

Effect of Paired Assistance Program on the Income Level of Urban and Rural Residents in Xinjiang一-Analysis at the Provincial and Municipal Level

作　　者：谷亚停 田茂再[1,2] 张戈 楚楚 GU Ya-ting;TIAN Mao-zai;ZHANG Ge;CHU Chu(School of Statistics and Data Science,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Unumqi 830012;School of Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学统计与数据科学学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012 [2]中国人民大学统计学院,北京100872

出　　处：《统计学报》2023年第3期33-44,56,共13页Journal of Statistics

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金(2019D01B05)。

摘　　要：对口援疆是我国一项区域性政策,目的是为了平衡国家发展速率,加快西部发展节奏。本文搜集了2005-2019年中国西部6省的相关数据,采用合成控制法从省域层面分析援疆政策对城乡居民收入水平的作用效果,并在市域层面运用双重差分模型(DID)进一步验证了援疆政策对城乡居民收入水平的显著影响。研究结果表明,援疆政策对新疆城乡居民收入水平产生了积极效应。为去除其他外部因素的干扰,本文基于反事实分析和变换样本的稳健性检验表明,援疆政策确实对居民收入水平具有正向作用。Paired asistance program for Xinjiang is a regional policy in China,aiming to balance national development rate and acelerate the development of western regions.Based on the related data of 6 provinces in the west of China from 2005 to 2019,the paper used the synthetic control method to analyze the effect of paired assistance program on the income level of urban and rural residents from the provincial level,and used the difference in-differences model(DID)to further test the ffect on the residents in Xinjiang from the municipal level.The results indicated that,the assistance program for Xinjiang had a positive ffect on the income level of urban and rural residents in Xinjiang.In order to remove the interference of other external factors,this peper used counterfactual analysis and sample transformation to conduct a robustness test,and the conclusio was still valid.

关 键 词：援疆政策 城乡居民收入水平 政策效应 合成控制法 新疆经济 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]