基于序贯Nash谈判博弈的石油开采策略研究  

Sequential Asymmetric Nash Bargaining on Oil-extraction Strategies

作　　者：冯中伟 李晓婷 谭春桥 FENG Zhongwei;LI Xiaoting;TAN Chunqiao(School of Business Administration,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,China;Research Center for Energy Economics,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,China;School of Business,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing 211815,China)

机构地区：[1]河南理工大学工商管理学院,河南焦作454000 [2]河南理工大学能源经济研究中心,河南焦作454000 [3]南京审计大学商学院,江苏南京211815

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2023年第5期78-84,共7页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71971218);河南省高等学校重点项目(23B630003);河南省高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(SKTD2023-02);2021校博士后科研资助(712108/233)。

摘　　要：考虑国外环保组织与石油开采公司游说发展中国家政府制定石油开采政策的情形,构建序贯非对称Nash谈判博弈模型:政府首先与国外环保组织以及石油开采公司进行三方谈判;如果三方谈判破裂,则政府选择一方进行双边谈判,谈判破裂点为政府与另一方进行双边谈判的结果;如果后者的双边谈判破裂,则政府选择最大化国家福利的石油开采政策。研究表明:在三方谈判中,如果一个游说团体筹集资金的成本低或政府对其缴纳的费用给予更高的评估,则该游说团体对政府决策具有更大的影响;三方谈判破裂后对政府决策仍产生影响的游说团体在三方谈判均衡中所支付的费用低于在双边谈判均衡中所支付的费用;当环保组织与政府之间不存在利益冲突时,环保组织可能受益于其维护三方谈判的行为。Oil plays an inestimable role in safeguarding national economic and social development as well as national defense security.According to the International Energy Agency,Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)supplied 41%of the world’s oil in 2020.Therefore,the developing countries play a pivotal role in oil supply.However,due to the backward technology of developing countries,they often delegate the task of oil extraction to enterprises in other countries.It is worth noting that the oil extraction companies have caused severely environmental pollution problems by extracting oil from the ground.On the other hand,the environmental groups oppose oil extraction in order to promote local environmental protection,which is the opposite of the motives of the oil extracting companies.Therefore,the oil extraction companies and the environmental organizations from the developed countries have a significant influence on the oil extraction policies of the government in the developing countries.In other words,it is of importantly practical significance to explore the three oil extraction strategies.The extant literature on oil extraction argues that the government of the developing countries should cooperate with the oil extraction companies from the developed countries to exploit domestic oil,but should not get involved in the influences of the oil extraction companies and the environmental organizations on the oil extraction policies of governments in the developing countries.Although Grossman and Helpman proposed a co-agent model of lobbying based on dual motives of government to maximize social welfare and lobby group payment,studying the influence of companies or environmental groups on government decisions,there is no subordination relationship between foreign companies or environmental protection organizations and the government of developing countries,which causes the oil extraction companies or the environmental organizations from the developed countries to have certain bargaining power in negotiatio

关 键 词：石油 开采政策 非对称Nash谈判 序贯均衡 

分 类 号：O225[理学—运筹学与控制论]