县域城市化和水环境耦合协调时序研究——以江苏常熟为例  

Study on Coupling and Coordination Time Series of County Urbanization and Water Environment——Take Changshu,Jiangsu as an Example

作　　者：荣洁 张凤太 RONG Jie;ZHANG Fengtai(Administrative Committee of Changshu New&High-Tech Industrial Development Zone,Changshu 215500,China;School of Management,Chongqing University of Technology,Chongqing 400054,China)

机构地区：[1]常熟高新技术产业开发区管理委员会,江苏常熟215500 [2]重庆理工大学管理学院,重庆400054

出　　处：《人民珠江》2023年第6期101-107,共7页Pearl River

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金项目(19YJCZH241)。

摘　　要：建立常熟城市化和水环境协调发展评价指标体系,探讨其耦合协调关系,为进一步提升区域城市化和水环境协调发展程度及制定政策提供参考。用变异系数法计算各项指标权重,构建耦合协调模型测度2011—2020年常熟市城市化和水环境耦合协调发展的时序特征。研究发现:城市化综合指数稳步上升,水环境综合指数波动上升,城市化与水环境耦合协调度不断上升。2个系统在此期间经历了3个发展阶段:从2011年城市化与水环境处于失调衰退类,到2012—2013年处于过渡发展类,再到2014—2020年处于协调发展类。2011—2016、2017、2018—2020年分别为城市化滞后于水环境、城市化与水环境平衡、水环境滞后于城市化。在今后发展中要把握耦合协调规律,采取因地制宜、因时制宜的城市发展模式,围绕建设“水美江南”发力。This paper establishes an evaluation index system for the coordinated development of urbanization and water environment in Changshu and discusses their coupling and coordination relationship,so as to provide a reference for promoting the coordinated development of regional urbanization and water environment and formulating policies.In this paper,the weight of each index is calculated by using the coefficient of variation method.A coupling and coordination model is constructed to measure the time series characteristics of the coupling and coordinated development of the urbanization and water environment in Changshu from 2011 to 2020.The study finds that the comprehensive index of urbanization increases steadily,and that of water environment increases with fluctuations.The coupling and coordination degree between urbanization and water environment shows a rising trend.The two systems have gone through three stages of development during this period:since 2011,urbanization and water environment have undergone imbalance and decline;from 2012 to 2013,they entered transitional development and then coordinated development from 2014 to 2020.In 2011—2016,urbanization lagged behind the water environment;in 2017,urbanization and water environment were balanced;in 2018—2020,water environment lagged behind urbanization.In the future development,it is necessary to grasp the law of coupling and coordination,adopt the urban development model of adjusting measures to local conditions and time,and focus on building a Jiangnan area with a favorable water environment.

关 键 词：城市化 水环境 耦合协调 常熟 

分 类 号：X52[环境科学与工程—环境工程]