“双碳”目标愿景下我国能源战略形势若干问题思考  

Research on China’s energy strategic situation under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals

作　　者：武强 涂坤[1,2] 曾一凡 Qiang Wu;Kun Tu;Yifan Zeng(National Engineering Research Center of Coal Mine Water Hazard Control,China University of Mining and Technology,Beijing 100083,China;College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering,China University of Mining and Technology,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)国家煤矿水害防治工程技术研究中心,北京100083 [2]中国矿业大学(北京)地球科学与测绘工程学院,北京100083

出　　处：《科学通报》2023年第15期1884-1898,共15页Chinese Science Bulletin

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(42072284,42027801,41877186);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2022XJDC04)资助.

摘　　要：2020年9月22日,习近平总书记在第75届联合国大会上首次宣布我国“二氧化碳力争于2030年前达到峰值,努力争取2060年前实现碳中和”(以下简称“双碳”),并将“双碳”目标纳入到我国生态文明建设整体布局中.这是我国在统筹国内国际两个大局下做出的重大战略部署和决策,就此开启了一场广泛而深刻的经济社会系统性变革.此后,习近平总书记在气候雄心峰会、联合国生物多样性峰会、达沃斯议程等多个重要国际多边场合,一再宣示或强调我国宏伟的“双碳”目标,不仅表明了我国全力解决资源环境约束突出问题、推进绿色低碳新发展理念的决心,更彰显了我国构建人类命运共同体的大国担当.China’s commitment to the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality is a concrete manifestation of its practical actions to promote a sustainable future for humankind.It demonstrates China’s commitment to its international responsibilities as a major country,and has garnered attention and recognition from the international community.China has a good foundation to achieve the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals but,as the world’s largest developing country,energy consumer,and emitter of greenhouse gases,meeting the goals requires the development of high quality energy production and consumption systems.Determining how to achieve a more resilient,inclusive,and sustainable mode of energy production and consumption while also ensuring national energy security is key to achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.In the context of tight energy supply and demand,uncertainty concerning alternative energy sources,significant carbon reductions,and the Russia-Ukraine conflict,this paper analyzes the proportion of primary energy consumption and production in China,coal as a hedge energy to enhance China’s independent supply capacity of oil and natural gas,the installed capacity and electricity generation of renewable energy sources,the allocation of energy consumption and production,energy efficiency,the upgrading of the coal industry,and the main challenges and pressures in meeting the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.The study reaches three main conclusions.First,to objectively and accurately understand the current strategic energy situation in China requires a comprehensive analysis of the proportion of primary energy in consumption and production,a focus on the installed capacity of renewable energy and the total available power generation,and an evaluation of the whole life cycle of production,consumption,and final disposal to understand the environmental and economic benefits,carbon emissions,and other indicators.Second,the precise allocation of energy consumption and producti

关 键 词：资源环境约束 达沃斯 我国能源战略 碳中和 生态文明建设 新发展理念 人类命运共同体 联合国大会 

分 类 号：F426.2[经济管理—产业经济] X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程]