江苏省对外投资贸易效应研究——基于引力模型的实证分析  

Research on the Effect of Foreign Investment and Trade in Jiangsu Province-Empirical Analysis Based on the Gravitational Model

作　　者：贾雨婷 Jia Yuting(Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210095)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学,江苏南京210095

出　　处：《对外经贸》2023年第6期6-9,39,共5页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

摘　　要：随着中国“走出去”战略的实施,江苏省对外直接投资规模持续扩大,其对进出口贸易的贡献度也日益增加。为进一步把握江苏省对外投资发展动态,综合选取2000-2019年江苏省省际层面相关数据,运用引力模型进行多元回归分析,实证探究江苏省对外投资的贸易效应。研究结果表明:江苏省对外直接投资存量对进出口贸易具有贸易创造效应。并根据贸易效应实证结果,提出了以下建议:鼓励企业“走出去”,各大主体优势互补,强化OFDI的贸易效应;推动劳动密集型产业转型升级。With the continuous promotion of China's"going out"strategy,the scale of outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)in Jiangsu Province continues to expand,and its contribution to import and export trade is also increasing.In order to further grasp the development dynamics of outward investment in Jiangsu Province,the inter-provincial level data of Jiangsu Province from 2000-2019 are selected and multiple regression analysis is conducted using the gravity model to empirically investigate the trade effects of outward investment in Jiangsu Province.The research results show that the stock of outward FDI from Jiangsu Province has a trade creation effect on import and export trade.And based on the empirical results of trade effect,the following suggestions are put forward,encourage enterprises to"go global",divide and cooperate,and strengthen the trade effect of OFDI;promote the transformation and upgrading of labor-intensive industries.

关 键 词：对外直接投资 进出口贸易 贸易效应 贸易创造效应 引力模型 

分 类 号：F74[经济管理—国际贸易]