中国省域入境旅游经济韧性时空特征与组态机制  

Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Configuration Mechanism of China's Inbound Tourism Economic Resilience at the Provincial Level

作　　者：王新越[1] 郭利贞 WANG Xinyue;GUO Lizhen(Management College,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266000,Shandong,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,中国山东青岛266000

出　　处：《经济地理》2023年第5期219-228,共10页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BJY202)。

摘　　要：基于Martin的经济韧性理论,构建省域入境旅游经济韧性水平评价体系,运用熵权TOPSIS对其进行测度,并分析时空演变特征,采用模糊集定性比较分析对2011、2015、2019年的省域入境旅游经济韧性组态机制进行研究。结果表明:(1)从时序演变特征来看,省域入境旅游经济整体韧性呈现上升趋势,区域差异不断缩小;(2)从空间分异特征来看,省域入境旅游经济韧性整体呈由点及线到面的空间扩散式发展,抵御能力呈显著的“沿海沿边”集聚倾向,恢复能力逐渐形成“一横二纵”的中高水平集聚带,调整能力片状组团式发展特征愈发显著,更新能力则呈现明显的南高北低特征,各维度空间格局差异显著,仍存在较大的发展空间;(3)在组态机制上,省域入境旅游经济韧性表现为6种驱动机制(产业支撑型创新驱动、基础巩固型创新驱动、服务优化型创新驱动、突破型产业驱动、渐进型产业驱动和基础保障驱动)和3种限制机制(服务优化限制、产业创新限制和基础产业限制),旅游产业环境逐渐成为影响入境旅游经济韧性发展的关键所在。Based on Martin's the economic resilience theory,this paper constructs the evaluation system of China's inbound tourism economy,studies its spatial-temporal characteristics and configuration mechanism in 2011,2015 and 2019 using the methods of TOPSIS and fsQCA.The results show that:1)The overall resilience level of China's inbound tourism economy shows an upward trend,and the regional differences are constantly narrowing.2)From the perspective of spatial differentiation,the resilience of China's inbound tourism economy as a whole shows the spatial diffusion development which evolves from point distribution to line distribution and cluster distribution.The resistant ability shows a significant tendency of"coastal and border"agglomeration,the recovery ability gradually forms a"one horizontal and two vertical"high-level agglomeration zones,the adjustment ability shows the development characteristics of cluster pattern,and the renewal ability shows the obvious characteristics of high in the south and low in the north.The spatial pattern of each dimension has significant difference,and there is still a large space for development.3)As for the configuration mechanism,the economic resilience of China's inbound tourism is manifested in six types of driving mechanism(industry supporting innovation-driven type,foundation consolidation innovation-driven type,service optimization innovation-driven type,breakthrough industry-driven type,gradual industry-driven type and foundation security-driven type)and three types of restrictive mechanism(service optimization-restrict type,industrial innovationrestrict type and foundation industry-restrict type).The environment of tourism industry has gradually become the key to the resilient development of inbound tourism economy.

关 键 词：入境旅游 经济韧性 高质量发展 创新驱动 组态机制 fsQCA 产业环境 旅游对外联系 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]