劳动力转移与土地经营规模--基于联立方程模型的实证分析  

Relationship between Rural Labor Transfer and Land Management Scale--Empirical Analysis Based on Simultaneous Equation Model

作　　者：张茂森 ZHANG Maosen(Jiangxi InstituteofEconomicDevelopment,Jiangxi NormalUniversity,Nanchang 330022,China)

机构地区：[1]江西师范大学江西经济发展研究院,江西南昌330022

出　　处：《商业观察》2023年第17期37-41,共5页BUSINESS OBSERVATION

摘　　要：土地经营规模调整是农业现代化发展的重要内容,劳动力转移是城乡要素交换中的关键一环。基于中国2005—2019年30个省份的面板数据,构建联立方程模型,对劳动力转移与土地经营规模的双向互动机理及变化趋势进行实证分析。研究结果发现:农村劳动力转移与土地经营规模之间存在双向的交互作用;农村劳动力转移与土地经营规模之间呈正U型的变化关系,现阶段我国土地整体上还没达到规模效应,土地利用效率有待提升,劳动力转移仍有进一步转移的空间。需要有针对性地推进土地制度改革,科学引导土地市场化,强化城乡要素交换机制,合理推进乡村剩余劳动力转移。The adjustment of land management scale is an important part of the development of agricultural modernization,and the transfer of labor force is a key element in the exchange of urban and rural factors.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2019,a simultaneous equation model is constructed to empirically analyze the two-way interaction mechanism and change trend of labor transfer and land management scale.The results show that there is a two-way interaction between the transfer of rural labor force and the scale of land management.There is a positive U-shaped relationship between them.At this stage,China's land as a whole has not reached the scale effect,and the efficiency of land use needs to be improved.There is still room for further transfer of labor force.It is necessary to promote the land system reform in a targeted way,scientifically guide the land marketization,strengthen the urban and rural factor exchange mechanism,and reasonably promote the transfer of rural surplus labor.

关 键 词：农村劳动力转移 土地经营规模 联立方程模型 

分 类 号：F241[经济管理—劳动经济]