江西省新型城镇化发展水平对城乡收入差距的影响研究——基于2004—2020年的时间序列数据分析  

Research on the influence of the development level of new urbanizationin Jiangxi Province on urban-rural income gap——Based on the analysis of time series data from 2004 to 2020

作　　者：阚大学[1] 姚文清 KAN Da-xue;YAO Wen-qing(Nanchang Institute of Technology,Nanchang 330099 China)

机构地区：[1]南昌工程学院经济贸易学院,江西南昌330099 [2]南昌工程学院工商管理学院,江西南昌330099

出　　处：《新余学院学报》2023年第3期15-25,共11页Journal of Xinyu University

基　　金：江西省社会科学基金项目“江西多维城镇化对水生态文明影响的理论分析与实证检验”(21JL08D);江西省高校人文社会科学项目“长江经济带多维城镇化对水生态文明影响的理论分析与实证研究”(JJ21212);国家自然科学基金项目“中国城镇化对水资源利用的影响研究:基于水足迹视角”(71764018)。

摘　　要：通过构建江西省新型城镇化发展水平指标体系,运用线性回归模型定量分析江西省新型城镇化发展水平与城乡收入差距之间的关系,并借助VAR模型对两者的动态变化进行脉冲响应和方差分解,进一步分析影响两者发展水平的原因。结果表明:江西省新型城镇化发展水平的提高对缩小城乡收入差距具有促进作用,且这种提升作用仅为单向传递;脉冲响应函数显示,江西省新型城镇化发展水平对城乡收入差距具有长期的负向冲击效果;方差分析表明,城乡收入差距的缩小主要源于新型城镇化发展水平的提升,而新型城镇化发展水平的提升几乎与城乡收入差距缩小无关。By constructing the indicator system of the development level of new urbanization in Jiangxi Province,this paper quantitatively analyzes the relationship between the development level of new urbanization in Jiangxi Province and the urban-rural income gap by using the linear regression model,and uses the VAR model to perform impulse response and variance decomposition on the dynamic changes of the two,further analyzing the reasons that affect their development levels.The results show that the improvement of the development level of new urbanization in Jiangxi Province can promote the narrowing of the urban-rural income gap,and this improvement effect is only one-way transmission;The impulse response function shows that the development level of new urbanization in Jiangxi Province has a long-term negative impact on the urban-rural income gap;Analysis of variance shows that the narrowing of urban-rural income gap is mainly due to the improvement of the development level of new urbanization,which is almost unrelated to the narrowing of urban-rural income gap.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 城乡收入差距 线性回归 VAR模型 江西 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]