原苏区易返贫致贫户返贫风险评价与差异分析——基于原中央苏区X县监测对象的动态管理数据  

Risk Evaluation and Differential Analysis of Returning to Poverty in Former Central Soviet Regions——Based on Dynamic Management Data of Monitoring X County

作　　者：黄海燕[1] 方常远 HUANG Haiyan;FANG Changyuan(Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang,Guizhou 550025,China)

机构地区：[1]贵州财经大学,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《龙岩学院学报》2023年第3期90-98,共9页Journal of Longyan University

摘　　要：基于原中央苏区X县监测对象的动态管理数据,采用熵权-模糊评价法评价其返贫风险,运用Kruskal Wallis检验不同致贫诱因、不同家庭人口数量易返贫致贫户返贫风险的差异。结果显示:易返贫致贫户的总体返贫风险、人力资本风险和家庭经济风险均为中等风险,社会保障风险为轻度风险;不同致贫诱因的家庭总体返贫风险差异明显,但人力资本风险、社会保障风险和家庭经济风险均不存在显著差异,而不同人口数量的家庭正好相反,即总体返贫风险不存在显著差异,三种类型风险却存在显著差异。Based on the dynamic management data of monitoring subjects in X County of the former Central Soviet Area,the entropy-weight-fuzzy evaluation method was used to evaluate their risk of returning to poverty,and Kruskal Wallis was applied to test the differences in the risk of returning to poverty among households prone to return to poverty with different poverty-causing triggers and different household size.The results show that the overall risk of poverty return,human capital risk and household economic risk of households prone to poverty return are all moderate risks,while social security risk is a mild risk;the overall risk of poverty return differs significantly among households with different poverty-causing factors,but human capital risk,social security risk and household economic risk do not differ significantly,while the opposite is true for households with different household size,i.e.the overall risk of poverty return does not differ significantly However,there are significant differences between the three types of risk.

关 键 词：原中央苏区 易返贫致贫户 返贫风险 熵权-模糊评价法 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]