基于DEMATEL、AHP和ANP方法的铁路行车安全有效性评估  

Effectiveness evaluation of railway traffic safety based on the DEMATEL,AHP,and ANP methods

作　　者：石明璋 林志栋 Shi Mingzhang;Lin Jyhdong(College of Engineering,Central University,Taoyuan 320953,China)

机构地区：[1]中央大学工学院,桃园320953

出　　处：《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》2023年第2期133-141,共9页东南大学学报（英文版）

摘　　要：为加强中国台湾地区铁路交通安全管理体系的有效性,基于欧盟和日本的实践经验,整理出5个主要关键因素和18个次要关键因素.采用多标准决策实验方法和层次分析法,计算各因素的相互依赖性,并结合问卷进行实证分析.使用分析网络过程方法评估各因素之间的相关性,并进行相对权重排序.结果表明,提高铁路安全的5个最重要因素依次为安全风险管理、最高管理层的承诺、安全责任与关键人员、安全政策目标与资源、安全教育训练与适任性管理.调查问卷显示,提升有效性的关键在于改善组织文化.检验现有铁路安全管理系统作业、提升关键人员的专业水平与展现最高管理层决心是首要推动重点,持续推进落实安全文化才能逐步提升铁路安全的有效性.To improve railway traffic safety management of Taiwan,China,five key factors and eighteen secondary factors for traffic safety were identified based on the practical experiences of railway administrations in the European Union and Japan.The factor interdependence was calculated using the decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL)and analytic hierarchy process(AHP)methods.Empirical studies were performed using the questionnaire.The analytical network process(ANP)method was used to evaluate the correlation degree and the relative weight ranking of each factor.The results show that safety risk management,top management commitment,safety responsibilities and key personnel,safety policy goals and resources,safety education and training,and aptitude management are the five most important factors to improve railway safety.Empirical results indicate that improving organizational culture is the leading determinant for increasing safety management effectiveness.Reviewing the current safety management systems,improving key personnel professionalism,and demonstrating the commitment of top management to safety are the key points.Continuous improvement and implementation of safety culture can gradually enhance the effectiveness of railway safety.

关 键 词：铁路安全 安全管理系统 决策实验室法 分析层级程序法 分析网路过程方法 

分 类 号：U456[建筑科学—桥梁与隧道工程]