城镇化路径对农民工城市化质量的影响研究  

The Impact of the Interprovincial Migration and the Migration of Central Cities

作　　者：魏万青[1] 马静 WEI Wanqing;MA Jing(School of Public Administration,Guangxi University,Nanning 530004,China)

机构地区：[1]广西大学公共管理学院,广西南宁530004

出　　处：《西南大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第4期108-118,共11页Journal of Southwest University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：广西高校人文社科重点研究基地重大项目“大变局下经济社会转型与新型城镇化推进路径研究”(JDZD202203),项目负责人:魏万青。

摘　　要：本文基于家庭团聚与迁移稳定性理解农民工城市化质量,并采用“全国流动人口动态监测调查”数据,评估异地城镇化和中心城市城镇化路径的影响。研究发现:(1)中心城市城镇化对农民工家庭团聚与迁移稳定性有积极影响,异地城镇化路径不利于城市化质量的提升;(2)基于中西部子样本进一步分析发现,中心城市城镇化路径显著提升了农民工城市化质量,而异地城镇化则导致家庭与生活的紧张关系;(3)使用工具变量处理内生性问题后,结论依然稳健。在此基础上,提出以农民工家庭迁移与稳定性为目标的多元城镇化路径的建议。This paper uses the perspective of life course,and establishes a quality assessment framework for urbanization based on family integrity and stability.We use date from the China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS)in 2014,and then establish a quality framework for the urbanization of migrant workers,to evaluate the impact of the interprovincial migration and the migration of central cities.The study found that central cities migration plays a positive role in maintaining the family integrity and stability of migrant workers,and the interprovincial migration is not conducive to improving the quality of migrant urbanization.After further analysis of the mid-west subsample,we found that central city migration still has a significant positive impact on the urbanization quality.However,the interprovincial migration,on the one hand,improves the urbanization stability of migrant workers,on the other hand,it is not conducive to maintain the integrity of the family.These results are still robust after the endogeneity problem is treated with instrumental variables.Therefore,the article suggests that the government should aim at the Separation type family of migrant workers to increase the supply of public services centered on education and policy housing.The urbanization also can be promoted through multiple paths,like balanced regional development,supply-side reform of basic public services,and development of capital cities and provincial capitals.

关 键 词：城市化路径 城市化质量 农民工 拆分型家庭 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]