2022全球重大油气发现及2023勘探展望  

Global major oil and gas discoveries in 2022 and exploration outlook in 2023

作　　者：王大鹏 孔祥宇[1] 田琨[1] 郭金瑞[1] 殷进垠[1] WANG Dapeng;KONG Xiangyu;TIAN Kun;GUO Jinrui;YIN Jinyin(Sinopec Petroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石化石油勘探开发研究院,北京102206

出　　处：《世界石油工业》2023年第3期16-23,共8页World Petroleum Industry

基　　金：国家科技重大专项“南大西洋两岸油气成藏条件与资源评价”(2016ZX05033-001);中国石油化工集团有限公司科技部项目“西非北部盆地油气资源潜力评价与有利区优选”(P17062-3)和“两伊地区油气富集规律及目标优选”(P22085)。

摘　　要：基于国际权威咨询机构Rystad Energy、IHS Markit、Wood Mackenzie和Westwood等公司分析数据,剖析2022年全球重大油气发现和勘探形势,提出2023年勘探重点关注方向。在全球能源格局发生巨大变化的背景下,2022年全球常规油气勘探呈现触底反弹趋势,勘探开发投资与新增储量均实现显著增长,以圭亚那、塞浦路斯和土耳其、俄罗斯(北极)等为代表的新兴领域持续获得多个重大油气发现;以巴西、阿尔及利亚和挪威等为代表的成熟领域也取得规模性新增储量。各大石油公司更加注重勘探成效,在高影响力探井数与2021年基本持平背景下,商业成功率提升,实现了勘探成本下降。受全球能源安全和能源变革不确定性的影响,2023年勘探投资并不会超预期增长,石油公司仍偏向采取审慎态度,保持一定预算和稳定的勘探工作量,预计全球高影响力探井数与2022年大致持平,主要分布在南美圭亚那—苏里南、阿根廷、墨西哥湾,非洲纳米比亚、摩洛哥、莫桑比克以及东地中海和东南亚海域。Based on the analysis data of Rystad Energy,IHS Markit,Wood Mackenzie,Westwood and other authoritative international consulting agencies,it is analyzed the global major oil and gas discoveries and exploration progress in 2022,and put forward the exploration fields and directions in 2023.Facing energy landscape dramatic changes,global conventional oil and gas exploration showed bottoming out in 2022.Compared with the year of 2021,in 2022 increased obviously.Emerging areas represented by Guyana,Cyprus,Turkey and Russia(Arctic)continued to make significant discoveries.Mature areas such as Brazil,Algeria and Norway also gained significant reserve growth.As the number of high-impact exploration wells remain basically unchanged,international major oil companies focused more on exploration effect and higher commercial success rates,reduced exploration costs.Due to global energy security and energy transition uncertainty,exploration investment in 2023 is not expected to exceed expectations.Oil companies will continue to take cautious attitude,maintain certain budget and stable workload.The number of high-impact well is expected to remain basically the same as in 2022,mainly in Guyana-Suriname,Argentina,Gulf of Mexico,Namibia,Morocco and Mozambique in Africa,and some offshore countries in the Eastern Mediterranean and Southeast Asia.

关 键 词：油气发现 勘探前景 勘探领域 高影响力探井 

分 类 号：TE132.1[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]