农村产业融合与县域经济增长——基于农村产业融合发展试点政策的经验证据  

Rural Industrial Integration and County Economic Growth—Empirical Evidence Based on the Pilot Policy of Rural Industrial Integration Development

作　　者：许伟 XU Wei

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210095

出　　处：《世界农业》2023年第7期98-111,共14页World Agriculture

基　　金：国家自然科学基金应急管理项目“乡村产业振兴的发展模式、路径和对策研究”(72141012);江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)。

摘　　要：农村产业融合作为乡村产业振兴战略和农业农村现代化推进过程中的重要手段,其将会对县域经济产生何种影响?通过系统的理论分析,将农村产业融合发展试点看作是一项准自然实验,选择2011—2019年江苏省64个区县的面板数据,利用多期倍差法和中介效应模型,研究政府支持下的农村产业融合对县域经济增长的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明,试点政策显著提高了县域经济发展水平,这一结论在进行一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;相较于高经济水平发展地区、低财力地区,试点政策对低经济水平发展地区和高财力地区的影响更为显著。此外,试点政策可以通过产业结构升级和加速城镇化等渠道推动县域经济增长。研究结论不仅有助于加深对农村产业融合与县域经济发展之间关系的理解,同时能够为深入推进乡村产业振兴战略提供重要的现实依据。As an important means in the process of rural industry revitalization strategy and agricultural and rural modernization,what impact will the rural industry integration have on the county economy?Through systematic theoretical analysis,the pilot project of rural industrial integration development is regarded as a quasi natural experiment.Panel data of 64 districts and counties in Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2019 are selected to study the impact of government supported rural industrial integration on county economic growth and its mechanism by using the multi period multiple difference method and intermediary effect model.The results show that the pilot policy has significantly improved the level of county economic development,which is still valid after a series of robustness tests;compared with regions with high economic development level and low financial resources,the pilot policy has a more significant impact on regions with low economic develop-ment and high financial resources.In addition,pilot policies can promote county economic growth through industrial structure upgrading and accelerating urbanization.The research conclusions not only help to deepen the understanding of the relationship between rural industrial integration and county economic development,but also provide an important practical basis for further promoting the strategy of rural industrial revitalization.

关 键 词：政府支持 农村产业融合 县域经济增长 产业结构升级 城镇化 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济] F127