福建省经济高质量发展与社会老龄化压力的耦合分析  

Coupling Analysis of the High-quality Development of the Economy and the Pressure of Social Aging in Fujian Province

作　　者：连海峰[1] 陈双梅 旷开金 LIAN Hai-feng;CHEN Shuang-mei;KUANG Kai-jin(College of Computer and Information Sciences,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou,350002,China;College of Finance,Fujian Jiangxia University,Fuzhou,350108,China)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学计算机与信息学院,福建福州350002 [2]福建江夏学院金融学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《福建江夏学院学报》2023年第3期12-22,共11页Journal of Fujian Jiangxia University

基　　金：福建省第七次全国人口普查科研课题“福建省人口老龄化对经济高质量发展的影响研究”(闽人普办〔2021〕13号)。

摘　　要：基于福建省2010—2020年面板数据,采用改进CRITIC法、耦合度模型、莫兰指数等方法,测算出社会老龄化压力指数和经济高质量发展水平,分析二者的耦合关系,探索空间分布特征。结果表明:福建省社会老龄化压力指数与经济高质量发展水平的空间集聚中心相反;耦合类型从磨合耦合逐渐向优质耦合发展,经济高质量发展水平逐渐与社会老龄化压力的发展趋势相适应;耦合度具有明显的空间集聚特征,局部存在“高-高”集聚的空间集聚模式,空间溢出效应明显。Based on the panel data of Fujian Province from 2010 to 2020,the improved CRITIC method,coupling degree model and Moran index are used to measure the social aging pressure index and the high-quality economic development,analyze their coupling relationship and explore their spatial distribution characteristics.The results show that:The aging pressure index of social aging in Fujian Province is opposite to the spatial aggregation center of the high-quality development;the coupling type gradually develops from abrasive coupling to high-quality coupling,and the high-quality economic development gradually adapts to the development trend of social aging pressure;the coupling degree has obvious spatial aggregation characteristics,and the spatial aggregation pattern of"high-high"aggregation exists locally,and the spatial spillover effect is obvious.

关 键 词：社会老龄化压力 福建经济 耦合度模型 莫兰指数 空间集聚特征 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] C924.2[社会学—人口学]