基于证据推理的突破性技术知识元匹配方法研究  

Matching Methods of Breakthrough Technology Knowledge Elements Based on Evidence Reasoning

作　　者：刘玉梅[1] 温馨[1] 孟翔飞 Liu Yumei;Wen Xin;Meng Xiangfei(School of Management,Shenyang University of Technology,Shenyang 110870,China)

机构地区：[1]沈阳工业大学管理学院,辽宁沈阳110870

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2023年第13期11-20,共10页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学基金项目(L19BJY037)。

摘　　要：突破性技术创新的实现具有高度不确定性,如将其视为不同领域技术知识进行交叉融合实现技术轨道跃迁的创新成果,可以有效理解与把握突破性技术创新的内在机理。其中,技术知识元匹配规则和方法成为关键性问题。基于突破性技术创新中技术知识元的多元化、动态化和分散化特点,运用证据推理理论,将技术提炼分解为知识元组合形式,根据突破性技术创新和技术融合性质提出技术匹配规则与方法,并以石墨烯技术为例,检验匹配规则和方法的有效性。依据规则,在技术知识来源中寻找合适的技术知识元进行匹配,进而迅速实现突破性技术创新,有助于提升突破性技术创新效率和效果。The technology structure and innovation mode are constantly changing in the background of technology convergence and?interdiscipline,so the formation and realization of breakthrough technology innovation is highly uncertain.If it is regarded as the innovation result of technology knowledge convergence in different fields to achieve technological trajectory transition,the internal mechanism of breakthrough technology innovation can be effectively understood.In this paper,the evidence reasoning theory is applied and the technology is refined and decomposed into the form of knowledge element combination.According to the nature of breakthrough technology innovation and technology convergence,the technology matching rules and methods are given.The effectiveness of the matching rules and methods is verified by taking graphene technology as an example.Theoretically,based on the diversification,dynamics and decentralization characteristics of breakthrough technology knowledge elements,technology is decomposed into the form of knowledge element combination,and the evidence reasoning theory is applied to construct the technology matching rules.The technology knowledge element matching model is the context of breakthrough technology innovation is proposed,and the rules and methods of technology knowledge matching in the formation process of breakthrough technology innovation with dynamic attributes are given.It further expands the theory and method of the formation and development about breakthrough technology innovation.In practice,in combination with the urgent need to tackle the bottleneck technologies,this study has established the technology knowledge matching and convergence methods in the context of breakthrough technology innovation,provided reasonable and feasible guidance for the formation about breakthrough technology innovation,offer the theoretical and methodological tools for solving practical problems that are difficult to form breakthrough technological innovation.Due to the complexity and uncertainty of bre

关 键 词：证据推理 突破性技术创新 技术融合 知识元 技术匹配 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]