基于不同调度模式的胶东调水工程水资源优化调度研究  

Water Dispatch Optimization of Jiaodong Water Diversion Project Based on Different Dispatching Modes

作　　者：王好芳[1] 王明栋 赵洪丽 孙博 贠汝安[1] WANG Hao-fang;WANG Ming-dong;ZHAO Hong-li;SUN Bo;YUN Ru-an(School of Civil Engineering,Shandong University,Jinan 250061,Shandong Province,China;Shandong Water Diversion Project Operation and Maintenance Center,Jinan 250100,Shandong Province,China)

机构地区：[1]山东大学土建与水利学院,山东济南250061 [2]山东省调水工程运行维护中心,山东济南250100

出　　处：《中国农村水利水电》2023年第7期19-26,34,共9页China Rural Water and Hydropower

基　　金：山东省科学技术厅引智项目(20199748);山东省智库高端人才成果研究转化项目(2022)。

摘　　要：山东省胶东调水工程是缓解或解决山东省胶东地区,特别是潍坊、青岛、烟台和威海四地市水资源短缺问题的重要跨流域调水工程。为了提高山东省胶东调水工程的调度运行管理水平,实现精细化调度,基于目前山东省胶东调水工程输水渠道供水能力的限制,开展了供水优先和供水均衡两种模式的水资源优化调度研究。首先,从缺水程度、用水效率、调水对社会经济发展支撑力三方面构建受水区供水优先等级评价指标体系,并利用熵权法确定胶东四地市的供水优先等级。其次,在相同的调度目标下(四地市总缺水量最小),利用目标规划法构建供水优先调度模型,利用线性规划法构建供水均衡调度模型,并针对枯水年(2017-2018年度)和特枯水年两种情景进行了探讨,给出了两种情景下的调度方案。调度结果表明:枯水年,均衡调度模式下,四地市总调水量和调水满足率均高于供水优先调度模式;特枯水年,供水优先调度模式下,只能满足排序第一的受水区的用水需求,四地市平均调水满足率为61.57%;而均衡调度模式,四地市用水需求虽然都不能得到满足,但是四地市平均调水满足率达到了76.81%以上。因此两种情景下,胶东调水工程供水均衡调度模式下四地市调水满足率基本均衡而且总受水区调水满足率要高于供水优先调度模式,更有利于胶东四地市社会经济的协调发展。研究为胶东调水工程决策者选择不同的调度模式提供了理论支撑,对类似调水工程也具有借鉴意义。The Jiaodong water diversion project(JWDP)in Shandong Province is an important cross-basin water diversion project to alleviate or solve the water shortage problem in the Jiaodong district of Shandong Province,China,especially in Weifang City,Qingdao City,Yantai City and Weihai City.In order to improve the management level of JWDP and realize fine dispatching operation,the water dispatch optimi-zations of JWDP based on water supply priority mode and water supply equilibrium mode are carried out,with a limited channel capacity of JWDP.Firstly,an evaluation index system for water supply priority is constructed from three aspects---water shortage degree,water consumption efficiency,and the support of water diversion to social-economic development.The levels of water supply priority of the four cities in Jiaodong District are determined by an entropy weighting method.Secondly,under the same optimization goal(minimize total water shortage),two water dispatch optimization models are constructed respectively,one based on water supply priority mode and by using the goal planning method,another based on water supply equilibrium mode and by using the linear planning method.Thirdly,the water dispatch optimization models are applied for two situations:scenario 1(the water demand in 2017-2018)and scenario 2(a special dry year,the water demand equals diversion index).The optimized results show that,in the dry year,under water supply equilibrium mode,the total water transfer and the average water transfer satisfaction rate of the four cities are higher than those of the water supply priority operation mode.In the special dry year,under water supply priority mode,only the water demand of the receiving area with the highest priority can be met,and the average water transfer satisfaction rate of the four cities is 61.57%.Under water supply equilibrium mode,although the water demand of the four cities cannot be met,the average water transfer satisfaction rate of the four cities reaches more than 76.81%.Therefore,under the two situa

关 键 词：水资源优化调度 胶东调水工程 调度模式 目标规划 熵权法 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源] TV68