发展战略、内生契约制度与长期经济增长  

Development Strategy,Endogenous Contract Institution and Long-term Economic Growth

作　　者：朱丹丹 付才辉 吕朝凤 ZHU Dandan;FU Caihui;LV Chaofeng(School of Economics,Sichuan Agricultural University,Chengdu 611130,China;Institute of New Structural Economics,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;School of Public Finance and Taxation,South-Western University of Finance and Economics,Chengdu 611130,China)

机构地区：[1]四川农业大学经济学院,四川成都611130 [2]北京大学新结构经济学研究院,北京100871 [3]西南财经大学财政税务学院,四川成都611130

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2023年第5期29-42,共14页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目“中国市场化改革与经济高质量增长研究”(22XJL005);国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国经济发展模式及其特点研究”(2021MZ-D015)。

摘　　要：将不完全契约和内生制度引入包含R&D创新的经济增长模型,在内生增长框架下研究不完全契约条件下重工业赶超发展战略对经济增长的影响。研究发现,重工业偏向性发展战略将通过影响契约制度而降低一个国家的经济增长;不完全契约的宽泛实施会扩大其对长期增长率的负影响。基于交互项计量模型的实证检验结果显示,重工业偏向性赶超战略会降低中国各省(市)的经济增长,即过度的偏向性赶超战略对经济增长具有“抑制效应”;契约执行效率是经济发展战略影响地区经济增长的中介机制。政府应逐渐将重工业偏向性发展战略向全面发展战略转化,不断完善契约制度、提高契约执行效率,以提高经济增长速度和质量,缓解区域发展差距。This paper introduces incomplete contract and endogenous institution into the economic growth model including R&D innovation and studies the impact of the catch-up development strategy of heavy industry on economic growth under the condition of incomplete contract with the framework of endogenous growth.Research shows that the biased development strategy of heavy industry will reduce the economic growth of a country by affecting the contract institution and the wide application of incomplete contracts amplifies its negative impact on long-run growth.The empirical results based on the cross-term econometric model show that the biased catch-up strategy of heavy industry will reduce the economic growth of the provinces(cities)in China,that is,excessively biased catch-up strategy has a“restraining effect”on economic growth;contract execution efficiency is the intermediary mechanism of economic development strategy affecting regional economic growth.The government should gradually transform the biased development strategy of heavy industry into a comprehensive development strategy,constantly improve the contract institution and improve contract execution efficiency,so as to improve the speed and quality of economic growth and alleviate the regional development gap.

关 键 词：发展战略 不完全契约 契约执行效率 经济增长 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]