农地经营规模对农户农产品供需市场化的影响——基于专业化生产的中介效应  

The Effect of Farmland Management Scale on Marketization of Agricultural Products Supply and Demand:Mediating Effects Based on Specialized Production

作　　者：谢文宝 赵向豪 李翔[3] XIE Wenbao;ZHAO Xianghao;LI Xiang(School of Economics and Management,West Anhui University,Lu'an 237012,Anhui,China;School of Economics,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,Xinjiang,China;School of Business,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830091,Xinjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]皖西学院经济与管理学院,安徽六安237012 [2]新疆财经大学经济学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012 [3]新疆大学商学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830091

出　　处：《铜仁学院学报》2023年第3期97-110,共14页Journal of Tongren University

基　　金：新疆“三农”课题研究项目“粮食和重要农产品稳产保供的途径与对策研究”(2021-SNKT-08);皖西学院高层次人才科研启动资助项目“共同富裕视角下土地调整、土地流转与农村内部不平等研究”(WGKQ2022056)。

摘　　要：基于微观农户调查数据,运用Tobit模型分析农地经营规模对农户农产品供需市场化的影响,运用SEM模型和蒙特卡洛法检验专业化生产的中介效应。研究发现:农地经营规模对农户农产品供给市场化正向显著,对农产品需求市场化的正向作用不明显;专业化生产对农户农产品供给市场化和需求市场化均正向显著;中介效应表明农地经营规模抑制了农户专业化生产,提升了农作物多样化种植,多样化种植提升了农产品家庭消费比例,进而降低了农户农产品供给和需求的市场化程度。我国农业发展从传统小农向以规模化、专业化、市场化为特征的现代农业转型,需要推动农地规模经营,提升农业生产专业化水平,促进农户农产品的供给和需求市场化,从农产品供给侧和需求侧引导小农户有效对接大市场。Based on micro-farm household survey data,this paper analyzes the effect of farmland management scale on marketization of agricultural products supply and demand by Tobit model,and tests the mediating effect of specialized production by SEM model and Monte Carlo method.The findings suggest that farmland management scale positively affects the marketization of agricultural product supply of farmers,but the positive effect on the marketization of agricultural product demand is not significant.Specialized production is positively significant for the marketization for farmers'agricultural products in supply and demand.Further intermediary effects show that the scale of farmland management reduces the specialized production of farmers,enhances the diversification of crop cultivation,and the diversification enhances the proportion of family consumption of agricultural products,which in return reduces the marketization of agricultural products supply and demand.The transformation of China's agricultural development from traditional small farmers to modern agriculture characterized by large-scale,specialization and marketization requires promoting large-scale operation of farmland,enhancing the specialization of agricultural production,promoting the marketization of supply and demand agricultural products,and guiding small farmers to effectively connect to the big market from the supply and demand of agricultural products.

关 键 词：农地经营规模 农产品市场化 专业化生产 TOBIT模型 中介效应 

分 类 号：F326[经济管理—产业经济] F724.6