中国国际援助能否促进受援国包容性发展?——来自“一带一路”沿线国家的证据  

Does China's Foreign Aid Promote the Inclusive Development of Recipient Countries? Evidence from Countries along the “Belt and Road”

作　　者：韦东明 顾乃华 Wei Dongming;Gu Naihua(School of Economics,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;Institute of Industrial Economics,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China)

机构地区：[1]北京大学经济学院,北京100871 [2]暨南大学产业经济研究院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《外国经济与管理》2023年第5期53-68,共16页Foreign Economics & Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(17ZDA047)。

摘　　要：包容性发展是寻求社会和经济协调发展的可持续性增长方式。随着“一带一路”倡议走深走实,中国对沿线国家的援助项目迅速发展,对于引领全球经济包容性发展具有重要影响。本文在理论分析国际援助影响受援国经济发展内在机理的基础上,采用AidData中国对外援助项目数据系统考察了中国援助对“一带一路”沿线国家包容性发展的作用。研究结果表明,中国援助可以有效促进沿线国家包容性发展,且主要通过提高沿线国家公共支出水平与居民消费效用产生作用。异质性检验发现,中国援助对沿线国家的包容性发展作用主要体现在官方发展援助、一揽子援助、经济基础设施援助以及非转移支付类援助,且集中于“一路”国家、较低制度环境水平国家以及中低收入、低收入国家。拓展性检验发现,中国援助的作用兼具短期与长期效应,且其短期效应高于长期效应。本文研究有助于客观全面评价中国国际援助对“一带一路”沿线国家的影响,为推动“一带一路”倡议高质量发展,促进双边互利共赢提供了经验证据与政策参考。With the expansion of its global economic influence,China is becoming more and more actively involved in global economic governance,especially in foreign aid cause,forming an increasingly close aid cooperation relationship among developing countries,and bringing important opportunities for the inclusive development of less developed countries and regions.At the same time,the construction of the “Belt and Road” advocated by China adheres to the concept of “building a community with a shared future for mankind” and is based on the South-South Cooperation framework.It provides assistance and investment for the economic development of countries along the “Belt and Road”,and promotes mutual benefit and win-win economic development between China and countries along the “Belt and Road”.This meets the needs of inclusive development and plays an important role in promoting inclusive development.However,existing literature mainly discusses the economic impact of foreign aid from international trade,economic growth,regional conflicts,and people's livelihood,while ignoring the relationship between China's foreign aid and inclusive development.This paper constructs an endogenous growth model including foreign aid to analyze the role of aid in the welfare level of recipient countries,and empirically analyzes the role of China's aid in the inclusive development of countries along the “Belt and Road” based on China's foreign aid project data from AidData.The results show that China's aid can effectively promote the inclusive development of countries along the “Belt and Road”,and it plays a role mainly by improving the public expenditure level and resident consumption effectiveness of countries along the “Belt and Road”.Heterogeneity tests find that the inclusive development role of China's aid to countries along the “Belt and Road” is mainly reflected in official development assistance,package aid,economic infrastructure assistance,and nontransfer payment assistance,and is concentrated in countrie

关 键 词：对外援助 包容性发展 “一带一路” 南南合作 

分 类 号：F420[经济管理—产业经济]