尺度重组视角下县域“协同治碳联盟”的碳额空间分异研究--基于浙江省减碳潜力的分析  

Spatial variations of carbon emission quotas in collaborative carbon governance alliance at the county level through regional rescaling:A case study of carbon reduction potential in Zhejiang province

作　　者：周从越 王竹[1] 郑媛 张钊 邬轶群 ZHOU Congyue;WANG Zhu;ZHENG Yuan;ZHANG Zhao;WU Yiqun(College of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;School of Architecture and Urban-rural Planning,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350108,China;College of Art and Archaeology,Hangzhou City University,Hangzhou 310015,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学建筑工程学院,杭州310058 [2]福州大学建筑与城乡规划学院,福州350108 [3]浙江大学城市学院艺术与考古学院,杭州310015

出　　处：《地理研究》2023年第6期1545-1559,共15页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(51238011);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(21GJD261)。

摘　　要：在双碳目标的驱动下,县域间精准的碳排治理与精确的碳权分配得到了学术界的广泛关注。以浙江省为例,基于引力模型和社会网络分析阐释县域间碳要素联系的内在动因与机理,突破行政壁垒对县域进行尺度重组,形成县域协同治碳联盟。进而,以Shapley值法构建两阶段碳排放权分配模型,以最大化减碳潜力为目标完成县域尺度2018—2030年的碳权配置。结果表明:县域间的碳要素空间关联具有高线性联系、向心式合作、多极化辐射等协同特征,促使在纵向结构中形成尺度上移的权责主体、在横向结构中构成十二个县域协同治碳联盟。在合作博弈框架下,县域碳配额的空间分异格局表现为带状化的连续形态、多中心的隶属结构和圈层式的递推肌理。研究为建立县域可持续治碳策略提供参考与支持。Driven by the dual carbon target,carbon emission management and carbon allocation among counties have become important issues.Taking Zhejiang province as an example,based on the gravity model and social network analysis,the internal mechanism of carbon factor connection among counties was explained,and the scale restructuring of counties was carried out to break through the administrative barriers and form the county collaborative carbon governance alliance.Furthermore,the Shapley value method was used to construct a two-stage model for completing the allocation of carbon emission rights at the county scale from 2018 to 2030.The results demonstrate that the spatial correlations of carbon factors among counties show synergistic characteristics,such as high linear correlation,central cooperation,and multi-polarization radiation,which lead to the formation of ascending power and responsibility subjects in the vertical structure,and the formation of twelve cooperative carbon governance alliances among counties in the horizontal structure.Under the framework of cooperative game,the spatial differentiation pattern of carbon emission rights at county level manifests as:Continuous form of zonal pattern,multi-center subordinate structure and circular recursive texture.Our research provides a reference for establishing sustainable county carbon management strategy.

关 键 词：双碳目标 尺度重组 治碳联盟 碳额分配 SHAPLEY值法 

分 类 号：F124.5[经济管理—世界经济] X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]