数字经济、产业链韧性与长江经济带制造业高质量发展  

Digital Economy,Industry Chain Resilience and High-Quality Development of Manufacturing Industry in Yangtze River Economic Belt

作　　者：盛三化[1] 董港 田惠敏[2] 王磊 Sheng Sanhua;Dong Gang;Tian Huimin;Wang Lei

机构地区：[1]三峡大学经济与管理学院,宜昌443002 [2]国家开发银行规划研究院,北京100033

出　　处：《区域经济评论》2023年第4期66-75,共10页Regional Economic Review

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“全球价值链参与度波动的诱因、影响及中国控制对策研究”(21CJY015);湖北省自然科学基金项目“产业链韧性视角下基于增加值核算的碳定价实现机制研究”(2022CFB751)。

摘　　要：当前,传统制造业正面临着逆全球化、贸易摩擦和新一轮科技革命的严峻挑战,利用数字经济形成制造业新竞争优势至关重要。采用2011—2020年长江经济带110个城市的面板数据,运用多元线性回归模型、中介效应模型与门槛效应模型进行实证分析,可以得出:数字经济对长江经济带制造业高质量发展具有显著正向影响,但存在流域异质性与城市规模异质性;产业链韧性在数字经济与制造业高质量发展之间起到部分中介作用;数字经济和产业链韧性对制造业高质量发展具有非线性影响,分别存在双重门槛与单一门槛效应。The traditional manufacturing industry is facing severe challenges from counter-globalization,trade frictions and a new round of technological revolution,and it is crucial to use the digital economy to form a new competitive advantage in manufacturing.Using the panel data of 110 cities in Yangtze River Economic Zone from 2011 to 2020,and using multiple linear regression model,mediating effect model and threshold effect model for empirical analysis,it can be concluded that:the digital economy has a significant positive impact on the high-quality development of manufacturing industry in Yangtze River Economic Zone,but there are basin heterogeneity and city scale heterogeneity;industry chain toughness plays a partial mediating role between the digital economy and high-quality development of manufacturing industry.The digital economy and industrial chain resilience have a non-linear influence on the high quality development of manufacturing industry,and there are double threshold and single threshold effects respectively.

关 键 词：长江经济带 数字经济 产业链韧性 制造业高质量发展 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]