Factors affecting electric vehicle acceptance,energy demand and CO_(2)emissions in Pakistan  

作　　者：Muhammad Huzaifa Butt Jai Govind Singh 

机构地区：[1]Department of Energy,Environment and Climate Change,School of Environment and Resources Development,Asian Institute of Technology,Thailand

出　　处：《Green Energy and Intelligent Transportation》2023年第3期3-15,共13页新能源与智能载运（英文）

摘　　要：This work aims to investigate the factors accelerating electric vehicle(EV)acceptance at the consumer end in Pakistan and analyzes the implications for policymakers for a fast-track EV transition.The study further in-vestigates the high EV penetration scenario resulting from the technology acceptance model(TAM's 80%EV)and its impact on energy demand and CO_(2)emissions.The study design used a quantitative analysis method with the survey as an instrument for data collection regarding EV acceptance.The model under investigation was adapted from the famous Technology-Acceptance Models(TAMs)and modified with other significant predictors evidenced in the literature.Correlation and stepwise regression were performed with a multicollinearity check for model hypothesis testing.Out of six predictors,only four factors were significant in accelerating the EV transition.Financial policies were found to be highly significant,followed by environmental concern,facilitating conditions and perceived ease of use.The research then used exponential smoothing forecasts for transport demand and developed an EV penetration scenario based on modified TAM results.The results highlight the significant in-crease in transport demand and the opportunity for Pakistan to limit passenger transport emissions to 36.6 MT instead of 61.6 MT by 2040.

关 键 词：Pakistan electric vehicle adoption Technology acceptance model Electric vehicle adoption Public acceptance Pakistan transport energy demand Pakistan transport emissions 

分 类 号：U469.72[机械工程—车辆工程]